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AKBA$0.97-5.37%
Fair $0.97+0.0%

AKBA

Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericNasdaqCM

$0.97

-0.05 (-5.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.97Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-23.4M · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 1unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -16.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AKBALocal privado en este navegador · Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$259M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

-16.4%

↓

Gross Margin

83.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.59

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$4

TradingView lightweight chart

AKBA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.965Periodo -96.4%
Fair value: $0.965

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

25.4%

FCF / Net income

-11.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $236.2M · net income $-5.3M · FCF $59.9M

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

83.3%— pts

Operating margin

9.9%— pts

Net margin

-2.3%— pts

FCF margin

25.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$236.2M$236.2M$160.2M$194.6M$292.5M$211.7M$294.6M$335.0M$207.7M$181.2M$1.5M$0.00$0.00——
Net Income$-5.3M$-5.3M$-69.4M$-51.9M$-94.2M$-282.0M$-384.8M$-279.7M$-143.6M$-73.7M$-135.7M$-60.7M$-37.0M$-13.2M$-8.2M
EBITDA$21.7M$21.7M$-13.7M$-8.3M$-40.8M$-262.6M$-375.8M$-284.0M$-177.3M$-76.1M$-136.2M$-61.4M$-37.9M——
EPS-0.02-0.02-0.33-0.28-0.51-1.70-2.78-2.36———————
Gross Margin83.3%83.3%60.6%61.9%70.7%——————————
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%-31.5%-23.7%-22.2%-125.0%-128.2%-85.5%-85.8%-42.3%-8889.9%————
Net Margin-2.3%-2.3%-43.3%-26.7%-32.2%-133.3%-130.6%-83.5%-69.1%-40.7%-8843.5%————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.591.59-0.97-1.5719.080.000.390.19———————
Current Ratio1.401.40—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$59.9M$59.9M$-40.7M$-23.4M$-73.3M$-253.0M$-110.7M$-264.1M$-99.1M$-57.8M$55.2M————
Returns
ROE-16.4%-16.4%141.1%169.8%-1801.6%-381.1%-157.5%-71.2%-22.6%-60.1%-199.3%-46.3%-35.6%10.4%13.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA5.305.30—————————————
P/B7.617.61——22.44——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth47.5%47.5%-17.7%-33.5%—-28.2%-12.0%61.3%14.6%11706.3%—————
EPS Growth93.9%93.9%-17.9%45.1%—38.8%-17.8%————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -70.3%

Total return

-70.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.33 → -0.02

Residual

-70.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-70.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.