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AKPI.JK$515.00-0.96%
Fair $515.00+0.0%

AKPI.JK

PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersJakarta

$515.00

-5.00 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $515.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-37.3B · quality 41.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AKPI.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Argha Karya Prima Industry Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$315.3B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.5x

↑

ROE

0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

11.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.75

↑
52-Week Range$515
$470$740

TradingView lightweight chart

AKPI.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $515.00Periodo +106.0%
Fair value: $515.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-9.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.94T · net income $12.66B · FCF $-125.79B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.0%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

3.0%-7.1% pts

Net margin

0.4%-5.9% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2938.71B$2938.71B$3025.04B$2723.63B$3105.63B
Net Income$12.66B$12.66B$10.63B$-29.65B$195.54B
EBITDA$102.96B$102.96B$114.34B$32.61B$327.74B
EPS——17.00-48.00319.00
Gross Margin11.0%11.0%10.3%8.3%12.1%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%3.2%0.6%10.1%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%0.4%-1.1%6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.750.750.620.680.59
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-125.79B$-125.79B$137.76B$-37.33B$58.71B
Returns
ROE0.7%0.7%0.6%-1.8%11.2%
Valuation
P/E9.909.9036.18—3.61
EV/EBITDA15.4815.4812.2447.025.13
P/B0.180.180.220.270.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.9%-2.9%11.1%-12.3%—
EPS Growth——135.4%-115.0%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.0%

Total return

-14.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

17.00 → n/d

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.