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ALAVI.PA$16.80+0.00%
Fair $16.80+0.0%

ALAVI.PA

AdVini S.A.

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesParis

$16.80

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.80Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 6/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 13%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.9M · quality 31.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.52, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALAVI.PALocal privado en este navegador · AdVini S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$67M

P/E

280.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.0x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

38.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.52

↑
52-Week Range$17
$11$18

TradingView lightweight chart

ALAVI.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.60Periodo +27.7%
Fair value: $16.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.2%

FCF CAGR

+15.9%

FCF margin

7.0%

FCF / Net income

83.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $270.1M · net income $226000.0 · FCF $18.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.7%+4.2% pts

Operating margin

3.5%+0.6% pts

Net margin

0.1%-0.9% pts

FCF margin

7.0%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$270.1M$270.1M$277.6M$286.8M$297.8M
Net Income$226000.00$226000.00$243000.00$-14.1M$3.0M
EBITDA$20.9M$20.9M$23.1M$10.5M$21.1M
EPS0.050.050.06-3.700.78
Gross Margin38.7%38.7%36.0%35.5%34.5%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%1.7%-0.5%2.9%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%0.1%-4.9%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.522.522.692.852.10
Current Ratio0.620.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$18.9M$18.9M$26.3M$-9.3M$12.1M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%0.3%-19.2%3.1%
Valuation
P/E280.00280.00208.33—24.36
EV/EBITDA11.0111.019.6524.0811.57
P/B0.880.880.660.790.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.7%-2.7%-3.2%-3.7%—
EPS Growth-11.2%-11.2%101.6%-574.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

203.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.49

Spread vs growth

-214.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

102.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.80

Spread vs growth

-113.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

49.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.90

Spread vs growth

-60.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.8%

Total return

+25.8%

Start / end P/E

220.0x → 311.5x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.05

Residual

-4.6%

EPS growth-11.2%
Multiple rerating+41.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.