StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
ALBI.PA$2.00-9.09%
Fair $2.00+0.0%

ALBI.PA

Gascogne SA

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersParis

$2.00

-0.20 (-9.09%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-42.8M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALBI.PALocal privado en este navegador · Gascogne SA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$75M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

-0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

51.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.18

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

ALBI.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.000Periodo -97.4%
Fair value: $2.000

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.9%

FCF / Net income

68.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $391.2M · net income $-625000.0 · FCF $-42.8M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

51.0%-0.1% pts

Operating margin

1.2%-2.5% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-3.4% pts

FCF margin

-10.9%-13.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$391.2M$391.2M$411.3M$460.2M$398.8M
Net Income$-625000.00$-625000.00$9.7M$22.5M$12.9M
EBITDA$29.3M$29.3M$36.9M$51.8M$33.4M
EPS——0.330.760.43
Gross Margin51.0%51.0%48.9%51.8%51.1%
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%4.2%7.6%3.6%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%2.4%4.9%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.181.180.930.720.81
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-42.8M$-42.8M$-48.0M$-8.2M$9.4M
Returns
ROE-0.3%-0.3%5.0%12.2%8.1%
Valuation
P/E——10.905.867.69
EV/EBITDA7.647.646.454.505.91
P/B0.350.350.550.720.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.9%-4.9%-10.6%15.4%—
EPS Growth——-57.1%75.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.4%

Total return

-17.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.33 → n/d

Residual

-17.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-17.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.