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ALCAT.PA$2.34+0.22%
Fair $2.34+0.0%

ALCAT.PA

ALCAT.PA

Consumer Cyclical / Recreational VehiclesParis

$2.34

+0.00 (+0.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.34Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-11.8M · quality 40.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ALCAT.PALocal privado en este navegador · ALCAT.PA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$67M

P/E

5.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.2x

↓

ROE

13.5%

↑

Gross Margin

52.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.60

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

ALCAT.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.300Periodo -73.1%
Fair value: $2.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $175.0M · net income $13.6M · FCF $-13.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.5%-4.3% pts

Operating margin

9.9%-6.2% pts

Net margin

7.8%-2.9% pts

FCF margin

-7.8%-29.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$175.0M$175.0M$229.5M$207.3M$148.6M
Net Income$13.6M$13.6M$29.7M$19.4M$15.9M
EBITDA$26.7M$26.7M$48.9M$34.6M$29.3M
EPS0.480.481.020.630.52
Gross Margin52.5%52.5%56.7%54.1%56.8%
Operating Margin9.9%9.9%16.3%12.4%16.1%
Net Margin7.8%7.8%12.9%9.3%10.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.600.600.480.350.41
Current Ratio1.911.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.7M$-13.7M$-11.8M$2.5M$32.5M
Returns
ROE13.5%13.5%31.7%26.6%26.9%
Valuation
P/E4.984.984.8410.9511.79
EV/EBITDA3.183.182.815.024.88
P/B0.660.661.532.903.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-23.8%-23.8%10.7%39.5%—
EPS Growth-53.2%-53.2%61.9%21.2%—
Dividend Yield5.7%5.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-24.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.21

Spread vs growth

-29.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.25

Spread vs growth

-41.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.40

Spread vs growth

-51.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.7%

Total return

-25.7%

Start / end P/E

3.3x → 4.8x

EPS bridge

1.02 → 0.48

Residual

-24.9%

EPS growth-53.2%
Multiple rerating+46.8%
Dividend+5.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-24.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.