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ALCO$40.41-0.59%
Fair $40.41+0.0%

ALCO

Alico, Inc.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsNasdaqGS

$40.41

-0.24 (-0.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $40.41Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-22.9M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 3/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -1.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALCOLocal privado en este navegador · Alico, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$300M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-143.0%

↓

Gross Margin

-436.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.83

↑
52-Week Range$40
$31$45

TradingView lightweight chart

ALCO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $40.41Periodo +146.8%
Fair value: $40.41

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

+2.6%

FCF margin

33.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $44.1M · net income $-147.3M · FCF $14.6M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-436.2%-438.2% pts

Operating margin

-462.7%-454.6% pts

Net margin

-334.3%-330.3% pts

FCF margin

33.2%+22.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$44.1M$44.1M$46.6M$39.8M$91.9M$108.6M$92.5M$122.3M$81.3M$129.8M$144.2M$153.1M$104.0M$101.7M$127.2M$98.6M$79.8M$89.5M
Net Income$-147.3M$-147.3M$7.0M$1.8M$12.5M$34.9M$23.7M$37.8M$13.1M$-9.5M$7.0M$13.2M$9.5M$19.6M$18.5M$7.1M$-623000.00$-3.6M
EBITDA$-4.4M$-4.4M$29.5M$22.9M$31.5M$29.6M$21.2M$58.8M$24.3M$9.1M$37.2M$33.7M$19.0M$21.6M$32.2M$22.6M$10.7M$286000.00
EPS-19.29-19.290.910.241.654.643.165.051.57-1.140.841.641.292.672.510.96-0.08-0.49
Gross Margin-436.2%-436.2%-120.9%16.2%-16.1%22.0%19.4%49.4%31.5%6.9%24.3%23.2%20.4%21.3%25.3%23.8%12.4%2.1%
Operating Margin-462.7%-462.7%-144.6%-10.5%-27.0%13.3%7.5%37.0%13.0%-4.7%15.2%12.4%9.0%11.7%18.7%15.5%4.3%-8.1%
Net Margin-334.3%-334.3%14.9%4.6%13.6%32.1%25.6%30.9%16.1%-7.3%4.8%8.6%9.1%19.3%14.5%7.2%-0.8%-4.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.830.830.370.530.45——0.810.981.131.111.180.360.240.290.490.69—
Current Ratio9.639.63————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.6M$14.6M$-48.4M$-22.9M$-14.2M$-5.8M$-17.7M$30.8M$2.2M$14.1M$16.1M$22.2M$11.8M$-5.5M$7.7M$4.5M$-1.1M$9.7M
Returns
ROE-143.0%-143.0%2.8%0.7%5.1%14.2%10.9%19.5%7.6%-5.9%4.0%7.7%5.9%13.8%14.5%6.4%-0.6%-3.4%
Valuation
P/E——30.66103.0816.84—————————————
EV/EBITDA——10.2213.8110.17—————————————
P/B3.003.000.850.770.86—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%17.1%-56.7%—17.4%-24.3%50.4%-37.4%-10.0%-5.8%47.2%2.3%-20.1%29.0%23.6%-10.9%—
EPS Growth-2219.8%-2219.8%279.2%-85.5%—46.8%-37.4%221.7%237.7%-235.7%-48.8%27.1%-51.7%6.4%161.5%1300.0%83.7%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.8%

Total return

+25.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.91 → -19.29

Residual

+25.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.