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ALCTL.IS$135.90+0.30%
Fair $135.90+0.0%

ALCTL.IS

Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomünikasyon A.S.

Technology / Communication EquipmentIstanbul

$135.90

+0.40 (+0.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $135.90Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $318.6M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALCTL.ISLocal privado en este navegador · Alcatel Lucent Teletas Telekomünikasyon A.S.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

9.6x

↓

ROE

-2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

16.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$136
$95$155

TradingView lightweight chart

ALCTL.IS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $135.90Periodo +1272.0%
Fair value: $135.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+33.2%

FCF CAGR

+70.3%

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

-11.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.39B · net income $-66.9M · FCF $786.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.2%-8.3% pts

Operating margin

9.8%-8.7% pts

Net margin

-1.2%-11.6% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.39B$5.39B$4.54B$2.56B$2.28B
Net Income$-66.9M$-66.9M$256.4M$-143.4M$235.9M
EBITDA$386.4M$386.4M$343.0M$233.3M$418.2M
EPS-1.73-1.736.63-3.716.10
Gross Margin16.2%16.2%12.4%8.3%24.4%
Operating Margin9.8%9.8%6.3%3.5%18.6%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%5.6%-5.6%10.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.060.010.01
Current Ratio2.732.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$786.3M$786.3M$-138.5M$318.6M$159.3M
Returns
ROE-2.0%-2.0%10.4%-7.3%18.1%
Valuation
P/E——18.16—15.02
EV/EBITDA9.569.5610.6110.047.06
P/B1.591.591.891.832.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.8%18.8%77.6%12.1%—
EPS Growth-126.1%-126.1%278.7%-160.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.7%

Total return

+29.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

6.63 → -1.73

Residual

+29.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+29.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.