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ALEC$2.07-4.17%
Fair $2.07+0.0%

ALEC

Alector, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGS

$2.07

-0.09 (-4.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.07Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-186.5M · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 9Warnings: 1unknown: 9
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALECLocal privado en este navegador · Alector, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$230M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-466.3%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

1.18

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

ALEC price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.070Periodo -88.6%
Fair value: $2.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2017–2025 · 8 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+28.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-874.7%

FCF / Net income

1.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.0M · net income $-142.9M · FCF $-184.1M

2017-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-741.3%+396.5% pts

Net margin

-679.2%+451.8% pts

FCF margin

-874.7%-228.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Income Statement
Revenue$21.0M$21.0M$100.6M$97.1M$133.6M$207.1M$21.1M$21.2M$27.5M$2.9M
Net Income$-142.9M$-142.9M$-119.0M$-130.4M$-133.3M$-36.3M$-190.2M$-105.4M$-52.2M$-32.5M
EBITDA$-146.3M$-146.3M$-136.2M$-142.9M$-129.4M$-31.0M$-189.3M$-110.6M$-56.3M$-32.0M
EPS-1.39-1.39-1.23-1.56-1.62-0.45-2.45———
Operating Margin-741.3%-741.3%-144.2%-156.3%-103.2%-18.0%-925.1%-539.2%-208.3%-1137.8%
Net Margin-679.2%-679.2%-118.4%-134.3%-99.8%-17.5%-901.6%-496.7%-189.9%-1130.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.181.180.340.290.20—————
Current Ratio5.255.25————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-184.1M$-184.1M$-231.2M$-186.5M$-24.4M$295.3M$-171.8M$-114.6M$125.6M$-18.6M
Returns
ROE-466.3%-466.3%-93.9%-97.2%-62.2%-12.1%-71.1%-54.1%53.6%62.4%
Valuation
P/B6.966.961.574.673.17—————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-79.1%-79.1%3.6%-27.4%—881.5%-0.6%-22.9%857.8%—
EPS Growth-13.0%-13.0%21.2%3.7%—81.6%————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +55.6%

Total return

+55.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.23 → -1.39

Residual

+55.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+55.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.