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ALEFRM.CO$2.55-6.59%
Fair $2.55+0.0%

ALEFRM.CO

Alefarm Brewing A/S

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - BrewersCopenhagen

$2.55

-0.18 (-6.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.55Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.0M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -20.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALEFRM.COLocal privado en este navegador · Alefarm Brewing A/S
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$33M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

52.6x

↑

ROE

-20.8%

↓

Gross Margin

34.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$3
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

ALEFRM.CO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.550Periodo -61.4%
Fair value: $2.550

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.5M · net income $-1.5M · FCF $466787.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.6%+18.6% pts

Operating margin

-10.3%+48.0% pts

Net margin

-13.2%+63.7% pts

FCF margin

4.0%+71.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.5M$11.5M$9.9M$8.8M$8.5M
Net Income$-1.5M$-1.5M$-3.2M$-3.5M$-6.6M
EBITDA$620168.00$620168.00$-1.2M$-1.6M$-3.3M
EPS——-0.23-0.26-0.49
Gross Margin34.6%34.6%26.6%23.8%16.0%
Operating Margin-10.3%-10.3%-29.3%-37.9%-58.3%
Net Margin-13.2%-13.2%-32.5%-40.2%-76.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.070.030.01
Current Ratio4.244.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$466787.00$466787.00$-2.8M$-2.0M$-5.7M
Returns
ROE-20.8%-20.8%-30.3%-28.6%-41.3%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA52.5652.56———
P/B4.554.551.741.561.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth16.1%16.1%13.0%2.9%—
EPS Growth——13.6%46.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +40.9%

Total return

+40.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.23 → n/d

Residual

+40.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+40.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.