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ALFAVIO.BO$8.70-4.29%
Fair $8.70+0.0%

ALFAVIO.BO

Alfavision Overseas (India) Limited

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsBSE

$8.70

-0.39 (-4.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.70Fund rank 21/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $4.5M · quality 24.0/100

Data gap 21/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.96, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALFAVIO.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Alfavision Overseas (India) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$274M

P/E

217.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

943.0x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.96

↑
52-Week Range$9
$4$17

TradingView lightweight chart

ALFAVIO.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.700Periodo +2900.0%
Fair value: $8.700

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-78.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

23.4%

FCF / Net income

3.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.1M · net income $1.2M · FCF $4.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%+17.8% pts

Operating margin

5.7%+3.0% pts

Net margin

6.4%+5.3% pts

FCF margin

23.4%+24.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$19.1M$19.1M$31.3M$308.1M$1.82B
Net Income$1.2M$1.2M$2.8M$6.8M$20.1M
EBITDA$1.6M$1.6M$10.2M$22.9M$34.6M
EPS0.040.040.090.220.64
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%44.2%8.7%3.2%
Operating Margin5.7%5.7%29.7%7.4%2.7%
Net Margin6.4%6.4%8.8%2.2%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.962.962.963.003.14
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.5M$4.5M$-97.3M$13.6M$-27.1M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%0.7%1.6%4.4%
Valuation
P/E217.50217.50158.8950.8220.50
EV/EBITDA943.05943.05166.7570.0053.02
P/B0.650.651.070.850.90
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-39.1%-39.1%-89.9%-83.0%—
EPS Growth-55.6%-55.6%-59.1%-65.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

168.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.77

Spread vs growth

-223.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

87.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.93

Spread vs growth

-143.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

43.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.50

Spread vs growth

-99.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -27.6%

Total return

-27.6%

Start / end P/E

133.6x → 217.5x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.04

Residual

-34.9%

EPS growth-55.6%
Multiple rerating+62.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-34.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.