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ALFOR.PA$0.27-0.73%
Fair $0.27+0.0%

ALFOR.PA

ALFOR.PA

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsParis

$0.27

-0.00 (-0.73%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.27Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-10.9M · quality 50.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -75.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALFOR.PALocal privado en este navegador · ALFOR.PA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-75.4%

↓

Gross Margin

36.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.82

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

ALFOR.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.272Periodo -96.2%
Fair value: $0.272

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.3%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $120.5M · net income $-28.0M · FCF $-8.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.0%+10.8% pts

Operating margin

-13.6%+10.3% pts

Net margin

-23.3%+6.1% pts

FCF margin

-7.3%+23.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$120.5M$120.5M$151.8M$171.2M$111.0M
Net Income$-28.0M$-28.0M$-12.1M$-28.0M$-32.6M
EBITDA$-11.4M$-11.4M$2.7M$-13.5M$-17.7M
EPS-0.29-0.29-0.17-0.43-0.61
Gross Margin36.0%36.0%33.5%24.3%25.3%
Operating Margin-13.6%-13.6%-5.9%-11.2%-23.9%
Net Margin-23.3%-23.3%-8.0%-16.3%-29.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.821.821.351.131.52
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-8.8M$-8.8M$-10.9M$-51.9M$-33.6M
Returns
ROE-75.4%-75.4%-25.4%-47.2%-82.1%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——33.05——
P/B0.700.700.642.874.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-20.6%-20.6%-11.4%54.2%—
EPS Growth-70.6%-70.6%60.5%29.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.3%

Total return

-30.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.17 → -0.29

Residual

-30.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-30.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.