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ALGIL.PA$22.80+1.33%
Fair $22.80+0.0%

ALGIL.PA

Groupe Guillin S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersParis

$22.80

+0.30 (+1.33%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $22.80Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $21.4M · quality 47.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ALGIL.PALocal privado en este navegador · Groupe Guillin S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$421M

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.3x

↓

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

36.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$23
$21$32

TradingView lightweight chart

ALGIL.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $22.80Periodo +760.4%
Fair value: $22.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.5%

FCF CAGR

+62.0%

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $884.5M · net income $48.3M · FCF $21.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.9%+5.1% pts

Operating margin

7.8%-0.1% pts

Net margin

5.5%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

2.4%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$884.5M$884.5M$869.7M$884.6M$897.7M
Net Income$48.3M$48.3M$59.7M$75.4M$51.0M
EBITDA$111.5M$111.5M$124.2M$142.7M$108.1M
EPS——3.234.082.76
Gross Margin36.9%36.9%37.1%36.7%31.8%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%9.0%11.2%7.9%
Net Margin5.5%5.5%6.9%8.5%5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.190.240.30
Current Ratio1.801.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$21.4M$21.4M$10.8M$104.5M$5.0M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%9.4%12.8%9.7%
Valuation
P/E8.648.648.857.438.22
EV/EBITDA4.334.334.584.094.88
P/B0.640.640.840.950.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.7%1.7%-1.7%-1.5%—
EPS Growth——-20.8%47.8%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.8%

Total return

-19.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.23 → n/d

Residual

-23.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-23.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.