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ALGT$89.16-2.67%
Fair $89.16+0.0%

ALGT

Allegiant Travel Company

Industrials / AirlinesNasdaqGS

$89.16

-2.45 (-2.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $89.16Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $38.3M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 17Warnings: 1unknown: 17
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALGTLocal privado en este navegador · Allegiant Travel Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

-4.2%

↓

Gross Margin

15.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.77

↑
52-Week Range$89
$43$118

TradingView lightweight chart

ALGT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $89.16Periodo +255.2%
Fair value: $89.16

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2009–2025 · 16 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.1%

FCF CAGR

-1.8%

FCF margin

2.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.68x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.61B · net income $-44.7M · FCF $75.1M

2009-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.4%— pts

Operating margin

6.7%-15.2% pts

Net margin

-1.7%-15.4% pts

FCF margin

2.9%-15.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Income Statement
Revenue$2.61B$2.61B$2.51B$2.51B$2.30B$1.58B$902.2M$1.68B$1.53B$1.37B$1.27B$1.26B$1.14B$996.1M$908.7M$779.1M$663.6M$557.9M
Net Income$-44.7M$-44.7M$-240.2M$117.6M$2.5M$151.9M$-184.1M$232.1M$161.8M$198.1M$220.9M$220.4M$86.7M$92.3M$78.6M$49.4M$65.7M$76.3M
EBITDA$326.9M$326.9M$60.9M$490.2M$305.6M$444.1M$-104.7M$519.8M$372.8M$352.3M$477.8M$469.8M$240.8M$224.0M$189.8M$127.4M$139.6M$151.9M
EPS-2.48-2.48-13.496.290.148.68-11.5314.2610.0012.1313.2912.944.864.824.062.573.323.76
Gross Margin15.4%15.4%15.3%19.8%14.8%—————————————
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%5.1%9.9%5.5%16.7%-31.1%21.6%15.9%16.8%29.4%29.4%13.8%15.5%14.6%11.0%15.8%21.9%
Net Margin-1.7%-1.7%-9.6%4.7%0.1%9.6%-20.4%13.8%10.5%14.4%17.4%17.5%7.6%9.3%8.6%6.3%9.9%13.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.771.771.971.781.811.322.061.411.621.721.521.621.830.570.350.390.04—
Current Ratio0.910.91————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$75.1M$75.1M$38.3M$-105.2M$-131.6M$294.6M$-46.5M$-64.6M$21.8M$-189.6M$148.4M$112.7M$-9.6M$19.4M$71.7M$43.3M$-543000.00$100.0M
Returns
ROE-4.2%-4.2%-22.1%8.9%0.2%12.4%-26.3%26.3%23.4%35.8%46.6%63.0%29.6%24.6%19.6%14.1%22.1%26.1%
Valuation
P/E———12.56538.50—————————————
EV/EBITDA10.1010.1058.187.4310.94—————————————
P/B1.531.531.541.071.11—————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.7%3.7%0.1%9.0%—75.0%-46.4%9.7%11.8%8.1%0.5%11.0%14.1%9.6%16.6%17.4%18.9%—
EPS Growth81.6%81.6%-314.5%4392.9%—175.3%-180.9%42.6%-17.6%-8.7%2.7%166.3%0.8%18.7%58.0%-22.6%-11.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.4%

Total return

+60.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-13.49 → -2.48

Residual

+60.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+60.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.