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Recent

v0.1
ALIT$0.93-0.90%
Fair $6.75+622.7%

ALIT

Alight, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationNYSE

$0.93

-0.01 (-0.90%)

Significantly Undervalued+622.7%Fair Value $6.75Fund rank 72/100 · Buy candidateSEC 7/7 yrs|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

$5.75

+83.3% CAGR · yield 9.0%

FCF base 5Y

$6.31

+46.5% base · +64.1% expected

Precio de entrada

$2.61

MOS 27% · confianza 46%

FCF escenarios

modelled · normalized FCF $246.0M · quality 41.3/100

Buy candidate 72/100
Bear 5Y$2.76+24.2%
Base 5Y$6.31+46.5%
Bull 5Y$29.00+98.8%
Return 100/100Downside 100/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 64/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

100/100

+622.7% upside

5Y CAGR

+64.1%

100/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 7Warnings: 2sec-companyfacts: 7
Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -3.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALITLocal privado en este navegador · Alight, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$511M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-296.6%

↓

Gross Margin

33.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.92

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$6

TradingView lightweight chart

ALIT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.933Periodo -91.0%
Buy zone: $2.610Bear 5Y: $2.760Fair value: $6.747Base 5Y: $6.310Bull 5Y: $29.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.08x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.26B · net income $-3.10B · FCF $250.0M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.8%— pts

Operating margin

-136.6%-147.0% pts

Net margin

-136.9%— pts

FCF margin

11.1%— pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$2.26B$2.26B$2.33B$2.39B$2.21B$1.55B$2.73B$2.55B
Net Income$-3.10B$-3.10B$-157.0M$-345.0M$-62.0M$-35.0M$-114.4M—
EBITDA$-2.56B$-2.56B$350.0M$167.0M$347.0M———
EPS-5.87-5.87-0.29-0.70-0.14-0.08——
Gross Margin33.8%33.8%34.0%33.9%31.1%34.2%——
Operating Margin-136.6%-136.6%-3.9%-3.4%-4.3%4.2%5.4%10.4%
Net Margin-136.9%-136.9%-6.7%-14.5%-2.8%-2.3%-4.2%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.921.920.470.630.640.695.97—
Current Ratio1.421.42——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$250.0M$250.0M$131.0M$246.0M$155.0M$-2.0M——
Returns
ROE-296.6%-296.6%-3.6%-7.7%-1.4%-0.8%-16.8%—
Valuation
EV/EBITDA——15.6643.8919.97———
P/B0.460.460.110.100.090.10——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.0%-3.0%-2.3%8.1%42.0%-43.0%6.9%—
EPS Growth-1924.1%-1924.1%58.6%-400.0%-75.0%———
Dividend Yield16.8%16.8%——————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -66.1%

Total return

-66.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.29 → -5.87

Residual

-82.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+16.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-82.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.