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ALKEY.PA$7.20+2.83%
Fair $7.20+0.0%

ALKEY.PA

Keyrus S.A.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesParis

$7.20

+0.20 (+2.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.20Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.2M · quality 48.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ALKEY.PALocal privado en este navegador · Keyrus S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$114M

P/E

34.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

5.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.85

↑
52-Week Range$7
$7$10

TradingView lightweight chart

ALKEY.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.260Periodo -48.1%
Fair value: $7.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.92x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $331.7M · net income $3.3M · FCF $-3.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.2%-3.1% pts

Operating margin

0.5%-3.6% pts

Net margin

1.0%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%-5.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$331.7M$331.7M$354.6M$370.3M$351.9M
Net Income$3.3M$3.3M$783000.00$3.5M$3.8M
EBITDA$23.5M$23.5M$15.3M$22.3M$25.2M
EPS0.210.210.050.220.24
Gross Margin5.2%5.2%6.8%8.3%8.4%
Operating Margin0.5%0.5%3.2%4.4%4.2%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.2%0.9%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.851.850.360.472.36
Current Ratio0.980.98———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.0M$-3.0M$14.2M$19.7M$16.9M
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%1.5%7.9%9.5%
Valuation
P/E34.2934.29154.4030.7319.04
EV/EBITDA7.217.216.213.394.19
P/B2.092.092.352.431.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.4%-6.4%-4.3%5.2%—
EPS Growth320.0%320.0%-77.3%-8.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

44.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

275.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.77

Spread vs growth

290.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.24

Spread vs growth

300.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.2%

Total return

-3.2%

Start / end P/E

150.0x → 34.6x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.21

Residual

-246.2%

EPS growth+320.0%
Multiple rerating-77.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-246.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.