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ALMA.HE$14.15+0.35%
Fair $14.15+0.0%

ALMA.HE

Alma Media Oyj

Communication Services / PublishingHelsinki

$14.15

+0.05 (+0.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.15Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $69.3M · quality 80.7/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ALMA.HELocal privado en este navegador · Alma Media Oyj
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

19.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.9x

↑

ROE

22.3%

↑

Gross Margin

89.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.64

↑
52-Week Range$14
$12$16

TradingView lightweight chart

ALMA.HE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.15Periodo +122.8%
Fair value: $14.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.9%

FCF CAGR

+3.4%

FCF margin

23.7%

FCF / Net income

1.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $327.1M · net income $55.4M · FCF $77.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

89.6%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

23.9%+0.3% pts

Net margin

16.9%-6.4% pts

FCF margin

23.7%+1.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$327.1M$327.1M$312.7M$304.9M$308.7M
Net Income$55.4M$55.4M$52.3M$56.3M$71.9M
EBITDA$95.3M$95.3M$92.9M$92.3M$105.3M
EPS0.660.660.620.670.86
Gross Margin89.6%89.6%88.9%88.5%87.8%
Operating Margin23.9%23.9%23.5%23.6%23.6%
Net Margin16.9%16.9%16.7%18.5%23.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.780.900.84
Current Ratio0.880.88———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$77.6M$77.6M$69.3M$53.7M$70.2M
Returns
ROE22.3%22.3%22.5%25.6%35.2%
Valuation
P/E19.6519.6517.9814.5110.86
EV/EBITDA13.8613.8611.5910.398.78
P/B4.814.814.033.693.82
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%2.6%-1.2%—
EPS Growth6.5%6.5%-7.5%-22.1%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

23.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.26

Spread vs growth

-17.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.52

Spread vs growth

-11.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.45

Spread vs growth

-7.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.8%

Total return

+20.8%

Start / end P/E

19.4x → 21.4x

EPS bridge

0.62 → 0.66

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth+6.5%
Multiple rerating+10.3%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.