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ALMCE.PA$6.50+0.78%
Fair $6.50+0.0%

ALMCE.PA

Mon Courtier Energie Groupe S.A.

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesParis

$6.50

+0.05 (+0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.50Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 72/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $307000.00 · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

72/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ALMCE.PALocal privado en este navegador · Mon Courtier Energie Groupe S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23M

P/E

11.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

17.7%

↑

Gross Margin

98.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$7
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

ALMCE.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.500Periodo -36.9%
Fair value: $6.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.5%

FCF CAGR

-1.5%

FCF margin

5.7%

FCF / Net income

0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.0M · net income $2.1M · FCF $1.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

98.6%+71.3% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-4.2% pts

Net margin

7.5%-2.0% pts

FCF margin

5.7%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.0M$28.0M$24.7M$21.0M$19.2M
Net Income$2.1M$2.1M$-346000.00$1.2M$1.8M
EBITDA$3.1M$3.1M$409000.00$1.9M$2.6M
EPS——-0.090.320.63
Gross Margin98.6%98.6%98.4%26.7%27.3%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%-0.5%6.9%12.5%
Net Margin7.5%7.5%-1.4%5.6%9.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.080.030.09
Current Ratio2.962.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.6M$1.6M$307000.00$-905000.00$1.7M
Returns
ROE17.7%17.7%-3.5%10.2%40.8%
Valuation
P/E11.2111.21—24.22—
EV/EBITDA6.276.2746.8813.82—
P/B1.931.932.202.48—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.6%13.6%17.3%9.8%—
EPS Growth——-129.2%-48.2%—
Dividend Yield6.0%6.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.7%

Total return

+34.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.09 → n/d

Residual

+28.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+28.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.