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ALPAU.PA$1.68+4.35%
Fair $1.68+0.0%

ALPAU.PA

PAULIC Meunerie SA

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsParis

$1.68

+0.07 (+4.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.68Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $687953.00 · quality 38.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALPAU.PALocal privado en este navegador · PAULIC Meunerie SA
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8M

P/E

28.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

↓

ROE

3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

36.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.81

↑
52-Week Range$2
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

ALPAU.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.680Periodo -72.2%
Fair value: $1.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

2.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.3M · net income $244788.0 · FCF $687953.0

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.6%+13.3% pts

Operating margin

3.7%+10.6% pts

Net margin

1.3%+7.1% pts

FCF margin

3.8%+12.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.3M$18.3M$19.2M$21.8M$18.7M
Net Income$244788.00$244788.00$-547271.00$-68226.00$-1.1M
EBITDA$1.9M$1.9M$911643.00$1.2M$-317277.00
EPS———-0.01-0.23
Gross Margin36.6%36.6%29.6%28.0%23.3%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%-1.6%0.1%-6.9%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%-2.9%-0.3%-5.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.810.810.991.001.13
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$687953.00$687953.00$488719.00$1.0M$-1.7M
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%-8.0%-0.9%-14.4%
Valuation
P/E28.0028.00———
EV/EBITDA7.197.1914.1216.23—
P/B1.101.100.951.701.65
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.5%-4.5%-12.1%16.9%—
EPS Growth———95.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +32.3%

Total return

+32.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+32.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+32.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.