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ALPCOT-B.ST$1.21-1.93%
Fair $1.21+0.0%

ALPCOT-B.ST

Alpcot Holding AB (publ)

Technology / Software - InfrastructureStockholm

$1.21

-0.02 (-1.93%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.21Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-19.4M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ALPCOT-B.STLocal privado en este navegador · Alpcot Holding AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$241M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

29.2x

↑

ROE

5.2%

↑

Gross Margin

52.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

ALPCOT-B.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.270Periodo -61.5%
Fair value: $1.205

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+17.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.8%

FCF / Net income

-1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $122.8M · net income $4.1M · FCF $-7.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.6%-1.1% pts

Operating margin

-8.3%+33.4% pts

Net margin

3.4%+43.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.8%+54.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$122.8M$122.8M$98.1M$80.8M$76.0M
Net Income$4.1M$4.1M$-23.3M$-17.3M$-30.7M
EBITDA$6.3M$6.3M$-21.4M$-25.2M$-19.4M
EPS-0.03-0.03-0.14-0.11-0.23
Gross Margin52.6%52.6%42.4%43.2%53.7%
Operating Margin-8.3%-8.3%-36.8%-48.0%-41.7%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%-23.7%-21.4%-40.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.010.030.06
Current Ratio2.582.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-7.1M$-7.1M$-21.8M$-19.4M$-45.8M
Returns
ROE5.2%5.2%-30.4%-17.5%-36.3%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA29.1629.16———
P/B2.442.441.291.702.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth25.2%25.2%21.4%6.3%—
EPS Growth78.6%78.6%-27.3%52.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.7%

Total return

+25.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.14 → -0.03

Residual

+25.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+25.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.