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ALPHAGEO.BO$202.05-4.20%
Fair $202.05+0.0%

ALPHAGEO.BO

Alphageo (India) Limited

Energy / Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesBSE

$202.05

-9.70 (-4.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $202.05Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 1/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-160.8M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists. ROE is -2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALPHAGEO.BOLocal privado en este navegador · Alphageo (India) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

-2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

5.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$202
$164$297

TradingView lightweight chart

ALPHAGEO.BO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $221.15Periodo +4760.4%
Fair value: $202.05

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-30.7%

FCF / Net income

6.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.26B · net income $-61.1M · FCF $-385.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

5.5%-16.9% pts

Operating margin

-9.8%-18.5% pts

Net margin

-4.9%-12.7% pts

FCF margin

-30.7%-77.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.26B$1.26B$986.7M$659.5M$1.55B
Net Income$-61.1M$-61.1M$3.8M$130.0M$121.9M
EBITDA$65.3M$65.3M$183.5M$306.5M$374.7M
EPS-9.60-9.600.6020.4319.16
Gross Margin5.5%5.5%20.2%23.6%22.4%
Operating Margin-9.8%-9.8%-2.3%-8.6%8.7%
Net Margin-4.9%-4.9%0.4%19.7%7.9%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.814.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-385.6M$-385.6M$-160.8M$-39.7M$730.5M
Returns
ROE-2.3%-2.3%0.1%4.6%4.5%
Valuation
P/E——640.5810.7017.96
EV/EBITDA10.0410.0410.292.932.97
P/B0.480.480.880.490.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.4%27.4%49.6%-57.4%—
EPS Growth-1700.0%-1700.0%-97.1%6.6%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -12.9%

Total return

-12.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.60 → -9.60

Residual

-16.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.