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v0.1
ALPRG.PA$0.35-2.00%
Fair $0.35+0.0%

ALPRG.PA

Prologue S.A.

Technology / Software - ApplicationParis

$0.35

-0.01 (-2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.35Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 67/B
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.3M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

67/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ALPRG.PALocal privado en este navegador · Prologue S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$35M

P/E

3.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.8x

↓

ROE

42.2%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

ALPRG.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.343Periodo -96.2%
Fair value: $0.347

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-19.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $65.0M · net income $9.8M · FCF $-12.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.7%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

-3.6%-5.5% pts

Net margin

15.1%+14.5% pts

FCF margin

-19.3%-18.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$65.0M$65.0M$111.3M$111.7M$108.4M
Net Income$9.8M$9.8M$2.0M$-10.2M$621000.00
EBITDA$12.6M$12.6M$6.2M$-819000.00$4.8M
EPS0.100.100.02-0.110.01
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%29.3%28.5%27.8%
Operating Margin-3.6%-3.6%4.4%-1.0%1.9%
Net Margin15.1%15.1%1.8%-9.1%0.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.111.001.190.70
Current Ratio2.522.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-12.5M$-12.5M$3.3M$3.8M$-935000.00
Returns
ROE42.2%42.2%14.4%-75.6%2.6%
Valuation
P/E3.473.4710.55—42.20
EV/EBITDA1.761.763.33—6.22
P/B1.501.501.551.811.01
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-41.6%-41.6%-0.4%3.1%—
EPS Growth390.0%390.0%118.0%-2320.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-32.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

422.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-17.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

407.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

394.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.7%

Total return

+41.7%

Start / end P/E

12.1x → 3.5x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.10

Residual

-277.2%

EPS growth+390.0%
Multiple rerating-71.1%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-277.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.