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Financial Analysis

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ALRFG.PA$4.81+0.21%
Fair $4.81+0.0%

ALRFG.PA

Racing Force S.P.A.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureParis

$4.81

+0.01 (+0.21%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.81Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.9M · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ALRFG.PALocal privado en este navegador · Racing Force S.P.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$131M

P/E

24.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.1x

↑

ROE

8.7%

↑

Gross Margin

63.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.36

↓
52-Week Range$5
$4$5

TradingView lightweight chart

ALRFG.PA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.810Periodo +14.5%
Fair value: $4.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $73.1M · net income $5.4M · FCF $-2.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

63.3%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

10.5%-5.0% pts

Net margin

7.4%-5.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.0%-1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$73.1M$73.1M$65.7M$62.7M$58.9M
Net Income$5.4M$5.4M$5.8M$4.8M$7.5M
EBITDA$11.3M$11.3M$10.6M$9.2M$11.9M
EPS——0.210.190.32
Gross Margin63.3%63.3%61.0%61.7%62.5%
Operating Margin10.5%10.5%10.4%10.9%15.5%
Net Margin7.4%7.4%8.8%7.7%12.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.360.360.230.280.48
Current Ratio2.022.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.9M$-2.9M$-1.5M$-5.2M$-1.4M
Returns
ROE8.7%8.7%9.6%9.9%20.7%
Valuation
P/E24.0524.0517.7227.4517.43
EV/EBITDA13.0813.0810.1015.1711.71
P/B2.112.111.702.713.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.4%11.4%4.8%6.4%—
EPS Growth——13.8%-41.3%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.4%

Total return

+2.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.21 → n/d

Residual

+0.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.