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ALV.V$8.41+1.45%
Fair $8.41+0.0%

ALV.V

Alvopetro Energy Ltd.

Energy / Oil & Gas E&PTSXV

$8.41

+0.12 (+1.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.41Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.0M · quality 75.3/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ALV.VLocal privado en este navegador · Alvopetro Energy Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$312M

P/E

9.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

24.2%

↑

Gross Margin

61.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

ALV.V price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.410Periodo +141.4%
Fair value: $8.410

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.0%

FCF CAGR

-22.2%

FCF margin

18.5%

FCF / Net income

0.46x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $58.0M · net income $23.1M · FCF $10.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

61.5%-14.8% pts

Operating margin

48.6%-19.1% pts

Net margin

39.9%-10.1% pts

FCF margin

18.5%-17.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$58.0M$58.0M$45.5M$59.7M$63.5M
Net Income$23.1M$23.1M$16.3M$28.5M$31.7M
EBITDA$41.4M$41.4M$28.1M$42.0M$46.3M
EPS——0.430.760.86
Gross Margin61.5%61.5%71.3%77.3%76.3%
Operating Margin48.6%48.6%55.2%67.8%67.7%
Net Margin39.9%39.9%35.8%47.8%50.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.100.100.12
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$10.7M$10.7M$24.0M$26.3M$22.7M
Returns
ROE24.2%24.2%20.5%32.3%41.5%
Valuation
P/E9.249.2412.198.748.41
EV/EBITDA7.337.336.515.755.54
P/B3.243.242.482.843.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth27.3%27.3%-23.7%-6.0%—
EPS Growth——-43.4%-11.6%—
Dividend Yield7.0%7.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +49.6%

Total return

+49.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.43 → n/d

Residual

+42.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+7.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+42.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.