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v0.1
ALVO$3.22-4.17%
Fair $3.22+0.0%

ALVO

Alvotech

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericNasdaqGM

$3.22

-0.14 (-4.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.22Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-293.8M · quality 59.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -9.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALVOLocal privado en este navegador · Alvotech
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.0B

P/E

32.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

↓

ROE

-9.8%

↓

Gross Margin

59.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

-5.09

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$12

TradingView lightweight chart

ALVO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.220Periodo -71.2%
Fair value: $3.220

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+91.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-25.0%

FCF / Net income

-5.24x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $586.3M · net income $27.9M · FCF $-146.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.8%+37.0% pts

Operating margin

13.3%+430.6% pts

Net margin

4.8%+623.3% pts

FCF margin

-25.0%+410.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$586.3M$586.3M$489.7M$91.4M$83.0M
Net Income$27.9M$27.9M$-231.9M$-551.7M$-513.6M
EBITDA$311.1M$311.1M$-32.3M$-493.7M$-453.8M
EPS0.100.10-0.87-2.43-2.60
Gross Margin59.8%59.8%62.2%-75.9%22.8%
Operating Margin13.3%13.3%14.2%-388.1%-417.3%
Net Margin4.8%4.8%-47.3%-603.4%-618.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-5.09-5.09-2.88-1.15-1.43
Current Ratio1.751.75———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-146.3M$-146.3M$-293.8M$-358.7M$-361.4M
Returns
ROE-9.8%-9.8%56.2%59.2%91.0%
Valuation
P/E32.2032.20———
EV/EBITDA6.996.99———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.7%19.7%435.6%10.1%—
EPS Growth111.5%111.5%64.2%6.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

41.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

69.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

83.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

18.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.56

Spread vs growth

92.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -71.9%

Total return

-71.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.87 → 0.10

Residual

-71.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-71.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.