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ALYA.TO$0.98-5.77%
Fair $0.98+0.0%

ALYA.TO

Alithya Group Inc.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTorontoCA

$0.98

-0.06 (-5.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.98Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.1M · quality 53.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -27.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ALYA.TOLocal privado en este navegador · Alithya Group Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$95M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-27.2%

↓

Gross Margin

31.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.89

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

ALYA.TO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.980Periodo -83.2%
Fair value: $0.980

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.0%

FCF CAGR

-2.9%

FCF margin

5.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $477.4M · net income $-38.8M · FCF $24.1M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

31.3%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

3.7%+5.4% pts

Net margin

-8.1%-2.4% pts

FCF margin

5.0%+0.0% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$477.4M$477.4M$473.5M$491.1M$522.7M
Net Income$-38.8M$-38.8M$1.3M$-16.7M$-30.1M
EBITDA$-6.8M$-6.8M$36.0M$24.3M$6.4M
EPS-0.40-0.400.01-0.17-0.32
Gross Margin31.3%31.3%31.0%28.7%29.0%
Operating Margin3.7%3.7%4.0%-0.3%-1.7%
Net Margin-8.1%-8.1%0.3%-3.4%-5.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.890.890.640.740.77
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$24.1M$24.1M$47.0M$14.9M$26.3M
Returns
ROE-27.2%-27.2%0.7%-9.5%-15.9%
Valuation
P/E——155.00——
EV/EBITDA——7.0112.8958.31
P/B0.670.670.811.101.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.8%0.8%-3.6%-6.0%—
EPS Growth-4100.0%-4100.0%105.9%46.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -52.9%

Total return

-52.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → -0.40

Residual

-52.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-52.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.