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AMAT$456.46+1.80%
Fair $456.46+0.0%

AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

Technology / Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsNasdaqGS

$456.46

+8.11 (+1.80%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $456.46Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.5B · quality 75.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 19Warnings: 0unknown: 19
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AMATLocal privado en este navegador · Applied Materials, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$362.4B

P/E

43.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

37.1x

↑

ROE

34.3%

↑

Gross Margin

48.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.35

↑
52-Week Range$456
$153$464

TradingView lightweight chart

AMAT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $458.17Periodo +1348.8%
Fair value: $456.46

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

20.1%

FCF / Net income

0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.37B · net income $7.00B · FCF $5.70B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.7%+2.5% pts

Operating margin

29.9%+5.5% pts

Net margin

24.7%+7.1% pts

FCF margin

20.1%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Income Statement
Revenue$28.37B$28.37B$27.18B$26.52B$25.79B$23.06B$17.20B$14.61B$16.70B$14.54B$10.82B$9.66B$9.07B$7.51B$8.72B$10.52B$9.55B$5.01B$8.13B$9.73B
Net Income$7.00B$7.00B$7.18B$6.86B$6.53B$5.89B$3.62B$2.71B$3.04B$3.52B$1.72B$1.38B$1.07B$256.0M$109.0M$1.93B$938.0M$-305.0M$960.7M$1.71B
EBITDA$9.97B$9.97B$8.79B$8.47B$8.27B$7.28B$4.74B$3.71B$4.95B$4.34B$2.54B$2.06B$1.90B$842.0M$833.0M$2.64B$1.69B$-103.0M$1.68B$2.64B
EPS8.668.668.618.117.446.403.922.862.963.251.541.120.870.210.091.450.70-0.230.701.20
Gross Margin48.7%48.7%47.5%46.7%46.5%47.3%44.7%43.7%45.0%45.5%41.7%40.9%42.4%39.8%38.0%41.5%38.9%28.5%42.4%46.1%
Operating Margin29.9%29.9%28.9%28.9%30.2%29.9%25.4%22.9%26.9%27.1%19.9%17.5%16.8%5.8%4.7%22.8%14.5%-7.9%16.7%24.4%
Net Margin24.7%24.7%26.4%25.9%25.3%25.5%21.0%18.5%18.2%24.2%15.9%14.3%11.8%3.4%1.3%18.3%9.8%-6.1%11.8%17.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.350.350.350.370.480.450.520.570.780.550.420.440.250.270.270.220.030.030.03—
Current Ratio2.512.51——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.70B$5.70B$7.49B$7.59B$4.61B$4.77B$3.38B$2.81B$3.17B$3.44B$2.31B$948.0M$1.56B$426.0M$1.69B$2.22B————
Returns
ROE34.3%34.3%37.8%41.9%53.5%48.1%34.2%32.9%44.4%36.5%23.2%18.1%13.6%3.6%1.5%21.9%12.4%-4.3%12.7%21.9%
Valuation
P/E43.1043.1022.3017.2312.33———————————————
EV/EBITDA37.0937.0918.0613.9310.19———————————————
P/B18.1318.138.437.226.60———————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.4%4.4%2.5%2.8%—34.1%17.8%-12.6%14.9%34.3%12.1%6.5%20.8%-13.9%-17.1%10.1%90.4%-38.3%-16.5%—
EPS Growth0.6%0.6%6.2%9.0%—63.3%37.1%-3.4%-8.9%111.0%37.5%28.7%314.3%133.3%-93.8%107.1%404.3%-132.9%-41.7%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

67.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$40.50

Spread vs growth

-66.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$49.01

Spread vs growth

-40.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$78.93

Spread vs growth

-24.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +192.8%

Total return

+192.8%

Start / end P/E

18.2x → 52.9x

EPS bridge

8.61 → 8.66

Residual

+1.1%

EPS growth+0.6%
Multiple rerating+190.6%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.