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AMBICAAGAR.NS$23.71+0.87%
Fair $23.71+0.0%

AMBICAAGAR.NS

Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Limited

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsNSE

$23.71

+0.21 (+0.87%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $23.71Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $13.6M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AMBICAAGAR.NSLocal privado en este navegador · Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$407M

P/E

32.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

30.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.75

↑
52-Week Range$24
$20$32

TradingView lightweight chart

AMBICAAGAR.NS price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.24Periodo -39.4%
Fair value: $23.71

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.0%

FCF / Net income

-15.09x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.24B · net income $4.9M · FCF $-73.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.2%+5.5% pts

Operating margin

6.7%-2.8% pts

Net margin

0.4%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

-6.0%-19.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.24B$1.24B$978.5M$1.17B$1.16B
Net Income$4.9M$4.9M$-36.6M$25.3M$24.0M
EBITDA$155.5M$155.5M$102.6M$135.2M$155.6M
EPS0.280.28-2.131.471.40
Gross Margin30.2%30.2%26.7%21.4%24.7%
Operating Margin6.7%6.7%3.4%5.4%9.5%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%-3.7%2.2%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.750.750.660.600.62
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-73.7M$-73.7M$13.6M$64.4M$158.0M
Returns
ROE0.4%0.4%-3.6%2.4%2.3%
Valuation
P/E32.4832.48—14.2221.93
EV/EBITDA7.817.8111.207.227.37
P/B0.370.370.480.340.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.3%26.3%-16.5%0.8%—
EPS Growth113.3%113.3%-245.0%5.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

94.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.10

Spread vs growth

18.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

55.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.55

Spread vs growth

58.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

30.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.10

Spread vs growth

82.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.8%

Total return

-19.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.13 → 0.28

Residual

-19.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.