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v0.1
AME$223.36-1.10%
Fair $157.79-29.4%

AME

AMETEK, Inc.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryNYSE

$223.36

-2.49 (-1.10%)

Modestly Overvalued-29.4%Fair Value $157.79Fund rank 65/100 · PassSEC 19/19 yrs|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

$198.99

-3.8% CAGR · yield 5.0%

FCF base 5Y

$244.78

+1.9% base · +3.4% expected

Precio de entrada

$116.17

MOS 16% · confianza 93%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $1.7B · quality 83.3/100

Pass 65/100
Bear 5Y$137.32-9.3%
Base 5Y$244.78+1.9%
Bull 5Y$430.33+14.0%
Return 49/100Downside 54/100Model quality 88/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

21/100

-29.4% upside

5Y CAGR

+3.4%

64/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 19Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 19
Thesis & Journal · AMELocal privado en este navegador · AMETEK, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$51.2B

P/E

35.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

23.3x

↑

ROE

13.9%

↑

Gross Margin

36.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$223
$174$243
EV/EBITDA Historical23.3x

TradingView lightweight chart

AME price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $223.36Periodo +7835.2%
Buy zone: $116.17Bear 5Y: $137.32Fair value: $157.79Base 5Y: $244.78Bull 5Y: $430.33

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.1%

FCF CAGR

+11.4%

FCF margin

22.6%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.40B · net income $1.48B · FCF $1.67B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.0%— pts

Operating margin

25.8%+7.7% pts

Net margin

20.0%+9.3% pts

FCF margin

22.6%+11.3% pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
2008SEC
2007SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$7.40B$7.40B$6.94B$6.60B$6.15B————$4.30B$3.84B$3.97B$4.02B$3.59B$3.33B$2.99B$2.47B$2.10B$2.53B$2.14B
Net Income$1.48B$1.48B$1.38B$1.31B$1.16B$990.1M$872.4M$861.3M$777.9M$681.5M$512.2M$590.9M$584.5M$517.0M$459.1M$384.5M$283.9M$205.8M$247.0M$228.0M
EBITDA$2.30B$2.30B$2.16B$2.03B$1.83B$1.60B$1.28B$1.41B$1.28B$1.09B$970.7M$1.06B$1.04B$933.7M$851.3M$722.5M$555.1M$431.6M$495.9M$439.2M
EPS6.406.405.935.675.014.253.773.753.342.942.192.452.372.101.881.581.181.271.532.12
Gross Margin36.0%36.0%35.7%36.1%34.9%———————————————
Operating Margin25.8%25.8%25.6%25.9%24.4%————21.0%20.6%22.8%22.3%22.7%22.4%21.3%19.5%17.4%17.1%18.1%
Net Margin20.0%20.0%19.8%19.9%18.9%————15.8%13.3%14.9%14.5%14.4%13.8%12.9%11.5%9.8%9.8%10.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.220.380.320.370.410.540.620.540.720.600.530.540.700.680.600.610.86—
Current Ratio1.141.14——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.67B$1.67B$1.70B$1.60B$1.01B$1.05B$1.21B$1.01B$843.4M$758.2M$693.6M——$597.3M$555.0M$457.7M$383.8M$331.6M$203.1M$240.9M
Returns
ROE13.9%13.9%14.3%15.0%15.5%14.4%14.7%16.8%18.3%16.9%15.7%18.2%18.0%16.5%18.1%18.7%16.0%13.1%19.2%18.4%
Valuation
P/E35.0835.0837.8639.6044.8152.8359.5559.8767.2276.37102.5291.6494.73106.91119.43142.10190.27176.79146.75105.91
EV/EBITDA23.2523.2520.1419.8319.33———————————————
P/B4.894.895.405.956.957.618.7210.0712.3212.9216.1116.6717.1317.6221.6126.6030.5223.1828.1019.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.6%6.6%5.2%7.3%—————12.0%-3.4%-1.2%11.9%7.8%11.5%21.0%17.8%-17.1%18.5%—
EPS Growth7.9%7.9%4.6%13.2%17.9%12.7%0.5%12.3%13.6%34.2%-10.6%3.4%12.9%11.7%19.0%33.9%-7.1%-17.0%-27.8%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growth
terminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

45.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$19.82

Spread vs growth

-37.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$23.98

Spread vs growth

-22.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$38.62

Spread vs growth

-11.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.6%

Total return

+25.6%

Start / end P/E

30.1x → 34.9x

EPS bridge

5.93 → 6.40

Residual

+1.3%

EPS growth+7.9%
Multiple rerating+15.8%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

19.3x23.3x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector23.3x
5.0xmed 9.9x34.9x