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AMER3.SA$5.09+0.79%
Fair $5.09+0.0%

AMER3.SA

Americanas S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailSão Paulo

$5.09

+0.04 (+0.79%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.09Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-318.0M · quality 36.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -5.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AMER3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Americanas S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.0B

P/E

1.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

-5.7%

↓

Gross Margin

27.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.17

↑
52-Week Range$5
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

AMER3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.090Periodo -99.7%
Fair value: $5.090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-21.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.9%

FCF / Net income

-1.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $12.30B · net income $-271.0M · FCF $356.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.0%+7.5% pts

Operating margin

2.7%+25.0% pts

Net margin

-2.2%+49.0% pts

FCF margin

2.9%+34.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$12.30B$12.30B$12.45B$14.76B$25.82B
Net Income$-271.0M$-271.0M$8.28B$-2.27B$-13.22B
EBITDA$1.85B$1.85B$17.62B$-1.68B$-8.19B
EPS-1.86-1.8669.95-251.76-1430.61
Gross Margin27.0%27.0%32.1%28.4%19.5%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%6.6%-19.0%-22.3%
Net Margin-2.2%-2.2%66.5%-15.4%-51.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.171.171.20-0.99-1.08
Current Ratio1.561.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$356.0M$356.0M$-3.65B$-318.0M$-8.21B
Returns
ROE-5.7%-5.7%166.6%7.9%49.6%
Valuation
P/E1.941.940.08——
EV/EBITDA2.942.940.31——
P/B0.160.160.14——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.2%-1.2%-15.6%-42.8%—
EPS Growth-102.7%-102.7%127.8%82.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.9%

Total return

-1.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

69.95 → -1.86

Residual

-1.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.