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AMPH$18.42-2.28%
Fair $18.42+0.0%

AMPH

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericNasdaqGS

$18.42

-0.43 (-2.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.42Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $145.3M · quality 70.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 0unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AMPHLocal privado en este navegador · Amphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$812M

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

12.4%

↑

Gross Margin

49.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.83

↑
52-Week Range$18
$17$31

TradingView lightweight chart

AMPH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.42Periodo +110.5%
Fair value: $18.42

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

16.5%

FCF / Net income

1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $719.9M · net income $98.1M · FCF $119.0M

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.5%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

19.5%+7.1% pts

Net margin

13.6%+4.8% pts

FCF margin

16.5%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$719.9M$719.9M$732.0M$644.4M$499.0M$437.8M$349.8M$322.4M$294.7M$240.2M$255.2M$251.5M$210.5M$229.7M$204.3M
Net Income$98.1M$98.1M$159.5M$137.5M$91.4M$62.1M$1.4M$48.9M$-5.7M$3.6M$9.8M$-2.8M$-10.7M$11.9M$18.1M
EBITDA$212.3M$212.3M$277.3M$240.3M$146.2M$80.1M$20.0M$7.0M$-2.6M$5.2M—————
EPS2.032.033.062.601.741.250.030.98-0.120.080.21-0.06-0.250.310.46
Gross Margin49.5%49.5%51.1%54.5%49.9%45.6%41.0%40.9%36.3%37.7%40.8%30.8%24.4%37.9%44.2%
Operating Margin19.5%19.5%28.1%30.6%21.5%16.0%3.1%-0.0%-2.9%-0.5%6.0%-2.7%-8.5%7.6%12.4%
Net Margin13.6%13.6%21.8%21.3%18.3%14.2%0.4%15.2%-1.9%1.5%3.8%-1.1%-5.1%5.2%8.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.830.830.890.980.190.180.110.120.150.140.110.140.15——
Current Ratio3.853.85—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$119.0M$119.0M$172.3M$145.3M$65.1M$70.5M$23.4M$207000.00$-8.6M$4.1M$17.2M$-5.3M———
Returns
ROE12.4%12.4%21.8%21.5%17.3%13.9%0.3%12.8%-1.7%1.1%3.0%-0.9%-3.8%4.7%7.8%
Valuation
P/E11.1011.1011.8624.1316.58——————————
EV/EBITDA6.476.478.6115.839.98——————————
P/B1.131.132.585.202.86——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%13.6%29.1%—25.1%8.5%9.4%22.7%-5.9%1.4%19.5%-8.4%12.4%—
EPS Growth-33.7%-33.7%17.7%49.4%—4066.7%-96.9%916.7%-250.0%-61.9%450.0%76.0%-180.6%-32.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.63

Spread vs growth

-26.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.98

Spread vs growth

-33.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.19

Spread vs growth

-38.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -28.4%

Total return

-28.4%

Start / end P/E

8.4x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

3.06 → 2.03

Residual

-2.7%

EPS growth-33.7%
Multiple rerating+8.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-2.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.