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AMPL$8.78+12.28%
Fair $8.78+0.0%

AMPL

Amplitude, Inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationNasdaqCM

$8.78

+0.96 (+12.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.78Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $22.4M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 1unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -36.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · AMPLLocal privado en este navegador · Amplitude, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-36.1%

↓

Gross Margin

74.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.04

↓
52-Week Range$9
$6$14

TradingView lightweight chart

AMPL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.780Periodo -84.0%
Fair value: $8.780

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $343.2M · net income $-88.5M · FCF $23.5M

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

74.0%+6.3% pts

Operating margin

-28.0%— pts

Net margin

-25.8%+23.2% pts

FCF margin

6.8%+31.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$343.2M$343.2M$299.3M$276.3M$238.1M$167.3M$102.5M$68.4M
Net Income$-88.5M$-88.5M$-94.3M$-90.4M$-93.4M$-75.0M$-24.6M$-33.5M
EBITDA$-86.4M$-86.4M$-101.3M$-88.8M$-91.9M———
EPS-0.67-0.67-0.76-0.77-0.84-1.46-0.98—
Gross Margin74.0%74.0%74.3%74.0%70.4%69.1%70.3%67.7%
Operating Margin-28.0%-28.0%-35.9%-34.2%-40.6%———
Net Margin-25.8%-25.8%-31.5%-32.7%-39.2%-44.8%-24.0%-49.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.040.040.020.030.04———
Current Ratio1.511.51——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$23.5M$23.5M$11.7M$22.4M$-11.2M$-33.2M$-11.4M$-16.7M
Returns
ROE-36.1%-36.1%-31.8%-30.7%-31.7%-24.5%36.6%53.3%
Valuation
P/B4.724.724.554.674.48———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.7%14.7%8.3%16.1%—63.2%49.7%—
EPS Growth11.8%11.8%1.3%8.3%—-49.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.1%

Total return

-29.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.76 → -0.67

Residual

-29.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.