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APH$146.35-1.62%
Fair $140.75-3.8%

APH

Amphenol Corporation

Technology / Electronic ComponentsNYSE

$146.35

-2.40 (-1.62%)

Fairly Valued-3.8%Fair Value $140.75Fund rank 36/100 · PassSEC 19/19 yrs|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

$44.78

-32.6% CAGR · yield 6.4%

FCF base 5Y

$62.35

-15.7% base · -14.4% expected

Precio de entrada

$28.99

MOS 18% · confianza 87%

FCF escenarios

audited · normalized FCF $2.2B · quality 70.7/100

Pass 36/100
Bear 5Y$34.17-25.2%
Base 5Y$62.35-15.7%
Bull 5Y$109.93-5.6%
Return 0/100Downside 8/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 100/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

46/100

-3.8% upside

5Y CAGR

-14.4%

0/100

Data QA

100/100

SEC 100%

Latest source: sec-companyfactsPeriods: 19Warnings: 0sec-companyfacts: 19
Thesis & Journal · APHLocal privado en este navegador · Amphenol Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$180.1B

P/E

39.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

27.8x

↑

ROE

31.8%

↑

Gross Margin

36.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.16

↑
52-Week Range$146
$88$167
EV/EBITDA Historical27.8x

TradingView lightweight chart

APH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $146.35Periodo +13828.2%
Buy zone: $28.99Bear 5Y: $34.17Fair value: $140.75Base 5Y: $62.35Bull 5Y: $109.93

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2007–2025 · 18 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

+16.4%

FCF margin

19.0%

FCF / Net income

1.03x

Latest source

SEC-backed

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $23.09B · net income $4.27B · FCF $4.38B

2007-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

36.9%— pts

Operating margin

25.4%— pts

Net margin

18.5%— pts

FCF margin

19.0%— pts
SEC-backed annual metrics active for 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007. Local SEC Companyfacts override Yahoo/FMP for audited annual line items; provider-only fields remain as fallback.
MetricTTM
2025SEC
2024SEC
2023SEC
2022SEC
2021SEC
2020SEC
2019SEC
2018SEC
2017SEC
2016SEC
2015SEC
2014SEC
2013SEC
2012SEC
2011SEC
2010SEC
2009SEC
2008SEC
2007SEC
Income Statement
Revenue$23.09B$23.09B$15.22B$12.55B$12.62B$10.88B$8.60B$8.23B$8.20B$7.01B$6.29B—————————
Net Income$4.27B$4.27B$2.42B$1.93B$1.90B$1.59B$1.20B$1.16B$1.21B$650.5M$822.9M$763.5M$709.1M$638.7M$559.5M$528.8M$496.4M$317.8M$419.2M$353.2M
EBITDA$6.89B$6.89B$3.80B$3.00B$2.99B$2.50B$1.95B$1.93B$1.99B$1.65B$1.42B$1.28B$1.20B$1.03B$950.1M$871.1M$803.2M$587.4M$723.5M$635.2M
EPS3.343.341.921.551.532.541.961.883.852.062.612.412.211.961.693.052.821.832.341.94
Gross Margin36.9%36.9%33.8%32.5%31.9%31.3%31.0%31.8%32.4%32.9%32.5%—————————
Operating Margin25.4%25.4%20.7%20.4%20.5%19.4%19.1%19.7%20.6%20.4%19.2%—————————
Net Margin18.5%18.5%15.9%15.4%15.1%14.6%14.0%14.0%14.7%9.3%13.1%—————————
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.161.160.700.520.65————0.890.820.870.910.750.700.630.340.43——
Current Ratio1.711.71——————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.38B$4.38B$2.15B$2.16B$1.79B$1.18B$1.32B$1.21B$802.1M$917.6M$886.8M$858.4M————$315.4M$519.2M$373.2M$284.1M
Returns
ROE31.8%31.8%24.8%23.1%27.1%25.2%22.3%25.5%30.0%16.3%22.4%23.6%24.4%22.3%23.0%24.4%21.4%18.2%31.1%27.6%
Valuation
P/E39.5439.5468.7885.2086.3151.9967.3870.2434.3064.1150.6054.8059.7667.3878.1443.3046.8372.1656.4468.07
EV/EBITDA27.7727.7724.2420.4917.40———————————————
P/B12.5812.5817.0419.6423.3813.1115.0817.9510.2810.4811.3312.9114.5514.9917.8210.4510.0313.1617.5018.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth51.7%51.7%21.3%-0.5%16.1%26.5%4.5%0.3%17.0%11.5%——————————
EPS Growth74.0%74.0%23.9%1.3%-39.8%29.6%4.3%-51.2%86.9%-21.1%8.3%9.0%12.8%16.0%-44.6%8.2%54.1%-21.8%20.6%—
Dividend Yield0.7%0.7%——————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growth
terminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

57.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$12.99

Spread vs growth

16.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

36.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.71

Spread vs growth

37.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$25.31

Spread vs growth

51.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +63.4%

Total return

+63.4%

Start / end P/E

46.8x → 43.8x

EPS bridge

1.92 → 3.34

Residual

-4.8%

EPS growth+74.0%
Multiple rerating-6.4%
Dividend+0.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.

17.4x
27.8x
EV/EBITDA vs Sector27.8x
6.5xmed 12.9x41.7x