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APLN.JK$149.00+0.00%
Fair $149.00+0.0%

APLN.JK

PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentJakarta

$149.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $149.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · APLN.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Agung Podomoro Land Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.38T

P/E

8.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.8x

↓

ROE

1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

41.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.46

↓
52-Week Range$149
$86$240

TradingView lightweight chart

APLN.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $149.00Periodo -63.7%
Fair value: $149.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.2%

FCF / Net income

-2.27x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.57T · net income $112.84B · FCF $-256.02B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.3%-14.8% pts

Operating margin

13.1%-30.4% pts

Net margin

3.2%-19.9% pts

FCF margin

-7.2%-35.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3566.30B$3566.30B$5576.76B$4676.65B$8663.82B
Net Income$112.84B$112.84B$633.86B$1082.67B$1994.92B
EBITDA$730.35B$730.35B$1407.59B$1910.11B$3075.83B
EPS——27.9247.7087.88
Gross Margin41.3%41.3%43.8%42.1%56.2%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%25.2%20.2%43.5%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%11.4%23.2%23.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.460.460.500.700.88
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-256.02B$-256.02B$1396.98B$962.55B$2478.04B
Returns
ROE1.0%1.0%5.6%10.1%20.8%
Valuation
P/E8.638.633.402.731.63
EV/EBITDA10.8210.824.845.083.45
P/B0.290.290.190.280.34
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-36.1%-36.1%19.2%-46.0%—
EPS Growth——-41.5%-45.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.2%

Total return

+60.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

27.92 → n/d

Residual

+60.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+60.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.