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v0.1
APP$614.63+0.25%
Fair $614.63+0.0%

APP

AppLovin Corporation

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesNasdaqGS

$614.63

+1.54 (+0.25%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $614.63Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.1B · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 65/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 7Warnings: 1unknown: 7
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · APPLocal privado en este navegador · AppLovin Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$206.5B

P/E

53.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

48.5x

↑

ROE

156.2%

↑

Gross Margin

87.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.66

↑
52-Week Range$615
$320$746

TradingView lightweight chart

APP price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $614.63Periodo +842.7%
Fair value: $614.63

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2019–2025 · 6 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+32.9%

FCF CAGR

+65.0%

FCF margin

71.9%

FCF / Net income

1.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.48B · net income $3.33B · FCF $3.94B

2019-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

87.9%— pts

Operating margin

75.8%+56.2% pts

Net margin

60.8%+48.9% pts

FCF margin

71.9%+52.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Income Statement
Revenue$5.48B$5.48B$3.22B$1.84B$2.82B$2.79B$1.45B$994.1M
Net Income$3.33B$3.33B$1.58B$357.2M$-192.7M$35.4M$-125.2M$119.0M
EBITDA$4.35B$4.35B$2.38B$1.26B$513.8M$581.1M$192.9M$287.2M
EPS9.759.754.530.98-0.520.09-0.580.36
Gross Margin87.9%87.9%83.9%80.6%55.4%———
Operating Margin75.8%75.8%59.3%41.9%-1.7%5.4%-4.3%19.6%
Net Margin60.8%60.8%49.0%19.4%-6.8%1.3%-8.6%12.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.661.663.262.531.721.50-9.99—
Current Ratio3.243.24——————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$3.94B$3.94B$2.07B$997.6M$412.1M$360.5M$219.6M$195.1M
Returns
ROE156.2%156.2%145.0%28.4%-10.1%1.7%79.0%-46.4%
Valuation
P/E53.3153.3177.4138.89————
EV/EBITDA48.5148.5152.4913.0511.31———
P/B98.4698.46111.9111.001.90———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth70.0%70.0%75.1%-34.6%—92.5%46.0%—
EPS Growth115.2%115.2%362.2%288.5%—115.5%-261.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

77.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$54.54

Spread vs growth

37.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$65.99

Spread vs growth

68.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$106.28

Spread vs growth

88.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.4%

Total return

+56.4%

Start / end P/E

86.8x → 63.0x

EPS bridge

4.53 → 9.75

Residual

-31.5%

EPS growth+115.2%
Multiple rerating-27.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.