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AQZ.AX$0.57+2.70%
Fair $0.57+0.0%

AQZ.AX

Alliance Aviation Services Limited

Industrials / Airports & Air ServicesASX

$0.57

+0.01 (+2.70%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.57Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-70.0M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · AQZ.AXLocal privado en este navegador · Alliance Aviation Services Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$92M

P/E

1.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

12.2%

↑

Gross Margin

64.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.10

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

AQZ.AX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.570Periodo -66.5%
Fair value: $0.570

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+27.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $760.9M · net income $57.3M · FCF $-70.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.8%+10.0% pts

Operating margin

14.0%+11.0% pts

Net margin

7.5%+9.0% pts

FCF margin

-9.2%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$760.9M$760.9M$637.2M$508.2M$367.5M
Net Income$57.3M$57.3M$60.5M$36.5M$-5.2M
EBITDA$205.7M$205.7M$177.5M$122.3M$47.6M
EPS0.360.360.380.23-0.03
Gross Margin64.8%64.8%67.7%62.3%54.8%
Operating Margin14.0%14.0%15.0%11.0%3.0%
Net Margin7.5%7.5%9.5%7.2%-1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.101.100.890.750.70
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-70.0M$-70.0M$-90.4M$-56.1M$-46.9M
Returns
ROE12.2%12.2%14.7%10.4%-1.7%
Valuation
P/E1.601.608.1212.21—
EV/EBITDA2.472.474.665.6115.82
P/B0.200.201.201.271.77
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.4%19.4%25.4%38.3%—
EPS Growth-5.4%-5.4%65.6%800.0%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-47.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

42.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-29.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

24.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-12.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

6.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -72.2%

Total return

-72.2%

Start / end P/E

6.8x → 1.6x

EPS bridge

0.38 → 0.36

Residual

+4.1%

EPS growth-5.4%
Multiple rerating-76.4%
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.