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ARC1T.TL$1.32-0.75%
Fair $1.32+0.0%

ARC1T.TL

Arco Vara AS

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentTallinn

$1.32

-0.01 (-0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.32Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 5.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is -1.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ARC1T.TLLocal privado en este navegador · Arco Vara AS
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

202.3x

↑

ROE

-1.3%

↓

Gross Margin

25.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.11

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

ARC1T.TL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.325Periodo -42.9%
Fair value: $1.325

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-17.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-560.3%

FCF / Net income

89.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.7M · net income $-479000.0 · FCF $-43.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.5%+6.3% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-3.9% pts

Net margin

-6.2%-11.4% pts

FCF margin

-560.3%-502.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.7M$7.7M$7.5M$18.3M$13.5M
Net Income$-479000.00$-479000.00$-624000.00$3.5M$695000.00
EBITDA$300000.00$300000.00$164000.00$4.0M$1.1M
EPS——-0.060.340.07
Gross Margin25.5%25.5%23.7%30.5%19.1%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%1.2%20.9%9.0%
Net Margin-6.2%-6.2%-8.3%19.4%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.111.110.770.481.00
Current Ratio5.835.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-43.1M$-43.1M$-6.6M$-11.7M$-7.8M
Returns
ROE-1.3%-1.3%-3.2%16.9%3.9%
Valuation
P/E———5.0425.71
EV/EBITDA202.31202.31172.556.5729.37
P/B0.630.630.750.851.04
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%-59.2%35.9%—
EPS Growth——-117.6%385.7%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.7%

Total return

-25.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → n/d

Residual

-27.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.