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ARCT$7.77-1.89%
Fair $7.77+0.0%

ARCT

Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGM

$7.77

-0.15 (-1.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.77Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-60.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 8Warnings: 3unknown: 8
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -30.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ARCTLocal privado en este navegador · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$221M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-30.7%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$24

TradingView lightweight chart

ARCT price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.770Periodo -85.3%
Fair value: $7.770

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2018–2025 · 7 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-110.8%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $67.2M · net income $-65.8M · FCF $-74.5M

2018-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-113.4%+25.0% pts

Net margin

-97.9%+40.4% pts

FCF margin

-110.8%+30.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Income Statement
Revenue$67.2M$67.2M$138.4M$157.7M$205.8M$12.4M$9.5M$20.8M$15.8M
Net Income$-65.8M$-65.8M$-80.9M$-29.7M$9.3M$-203.7M$-72.1M$-26.0M$-21.8M
EBITDA$-62.7M$-62.7M$-77.4M$-24.2M$13.7M$-201.7M$-70.6M$-24.8M$-21.2M
EPS-2.40-2.40-3.00-1.000.35-7.74———
Operating Margin-113.4%-113.4%-69.1%-49.6%5.9%-1641.3%-749.8%-122.7%-138.5%
Net Margin-97.9%-97.9%-58.5%-18.8%4.5%-1648.0%-756.3%-125.0%-138.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.120.110.350.180.030.580.73
Current Ratio6.316.31———————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-74.5M$-74.5M$-60.4M$-21.0M$24.3M$-138.4M$-44.6M$-7.3M$-22.2M
Returns
ROE-30.7%-30.7%-33.6%-10.7%3.5%-89.2%-18.2%-100.8%-159.7%
Valuation
P/E————46.89————
EV/EBITDA————10.76————
P/B0.990.992.012.991.64————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-51.4%-51.4%-12.3%-23.3%—29.6%-54.1%32.0%—
EPS Growth20.0%20.0%-200.0%-385.7%—————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -38.0%

Total return

-38.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-3.00 → -2.40

Residual

-38.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-38.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.