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ARDX$5.73-5.13%
Fair $5.73+0.0%

ARDX

Ardelyx, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGM

$5.73

-0.31 (-5.13%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.73Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-45.8M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 14Warnings: 1unknown: 14
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -36.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ARDXLocal privado en este navegador · Ardelyx, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-36.9%

↓

Gross Margin

90.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.25

↑
52-Week Range$6
$3$8

TradingView lightweight chart

ARDX price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.730Periodo -59.4%
Fair value: $5.730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2012–2025 · 13 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+39.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-10.8%

FCF / Net income

0.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $407.3M · net income $-61.6M · FCF $-44.0M

2012-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

90.3%— pts

Operating margin

-10.1%+152.7% pts

Net margin

-15.1%+165.7% pts

FCF margin

-10.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Income Statement
Revenue$407.3M$407.3M$333.6M$124.5M$52.2M$10.1M$7.6M$5.3M$2.6M$42.0M—$24.0M$31.6M$28.9M$5.4M
Net Income$-61.6M$-61.6M$-39.1M$-66.1M$-67.2M$-158.2M$-94.3M$-94.9M$-91.3M$-64.3M$-112.4M$-29.6M$-3.2M$-6.6M$-9.8M
EBITDA$-29.2M$-29.2M$-16.7M$-55.4M$-61.0M$-151.5M$-88.2M$-88.8M$-88.2M$-62.5M$-111.6M$-28.6M$-1.3M$-2.3M$-8.1M
EPS-0.26-0.26-0.17-0.30-0.42-1.52-1.05-1.47———————
Gross Margin90.3%90.3%84.8%85.7%92.1%——88.6%82.1%80.0%—100.0%———
Operating Margin-10.1%-10.1%-8.4%-50.8%-122.2%-1528.6%-1199.0%-1728.1%-3488.6%-155.0%—-122.3%-4.9%-9.9%-162.8%
Net Margin-15.1%-15.1%-11.7%-53.1%-128.9%-1566.5%-1245.7%-1797.8%-3502.0%-153.2%—-123.3%-10.2%-22.7%-180.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.251.250.890.340.370.390.400.270.45——————
Current Ratio3.483.48—————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-44.0M$-44.0M$-45.8M$-90.1M$-70.1M$-154.4M$-81.8M$-76.8M$-70.6M$-67.5M$-97.4M$-75.3M———
Returns
ROE-36.9%-36.9%-22.6%-39.6%-68.3%-191.4%-74.8%-50.9%-78.8%-46.2%-58.2%-27.2%-5.3%10.3%17.0%
Valuation
P/B8.278.276.758.104.63——————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.1%22.1%168.1%138.6%—33.4%43.4%102.6%-93.8%——-24.0%9.3%434.7%—
EPS Growth-52.9%-52.9%43.3%28.6%—-44.8%28.6%————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +56.1%

Total return

+56.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.17 → -0.26

Residual

+56.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+56.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.