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ARL.WA$26.20+1.35%
Fair $26.20+0.0%

ARL.WA

Arlen S.A.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingWarsaw

$26.20

+0.35 (+1.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $26.20Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $25.8M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ARL.WALocal privado en este navegador · Arlen S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$580M

P/E

11.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-1.2x

↓

ROE

21.4%

↑

Gross Margin

26.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$26
$24$48

TradingView lightweight chart

ARL.WA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $26.20Periodo -30.6%
Fair value: $26.20

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

12.4%

FCF / Net income

1.19x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $461.4M · net income $48.3M · FCF $57.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

26.2%— pts

Operating margin

15.4%— pts

Net margin

10.5%— pts

FCF margin

12.4%— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$461.4M$461.4M$366.3M$282.4M—
Net Income$48.3M$48.3M$31.5M$25.4M—
EBITDA$76.5M$76.5M$50.5M$39.1M—
EPS218.57218.57142.47114.93—
Gross Margin26.2%26.2%24.5%21.7%—
Operating Margin15.4%15.4%12.3%12.1%—
Net Margin10.5%10.5%8.6%9.0%—
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.120.130.13
Current Ratio5.805.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$57.3M$57.3M$25.8M$21.9M—
Returns
ROE21.4%21.4%18.1%18.2%—
Valuation
P/E11.0111.01———
EV/EBITDA-1.22-1.22———
P/B0.030.03———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth26.0%26.0%29.7%——
EPS Growth53.4%53.4%24.0%——
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-78.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.32

Spread vs growth

131.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-58.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.81

Spread vs growth

111.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-32.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$4.53

Spread vs growth

85.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · available periodreconcilia total -28.5%

Total return

-28.5%

Start / end P/E

0.3x → 0.1x

EPS bridge

142.47 → 218.57

Residual

-29.2%

EPS growth+53.4%
Multiple rerating-54.8%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.