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ARM$409.22+15.83%
Fair $409.22+0.0%

ARM

Arm Holdings plc

Technology / SemiconductorsNasdaqGS

$409.22

+55.93 (+15.83%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $409.22Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 74/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $947.0M · quality 73.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

74/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · ARMLocal privado en este navegador · Arm Holdings plc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$437.1B

P/E

481.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

375.8x

↑

ROE

10.9%

↑

Gross Margin

97.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$409
$100$422

TradingView lightweight chart

ARM price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $409.22Periodo +543.5%
Fair value: $409.22

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.5%

FCF CAGR

+13.7%

FCF margin

19.3%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.92B · net income $904.0M · FCF $949.0M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

97.5%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

18.5%-6.9% pts

Net margin

18.4%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

19.3%-4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$4.92B$4.92B$4.01B$3.23B$2.68B
Net Income$904.0M$904.0M$792.0M$306.0M$524.0M
EBITDA$1.16B$1.16B$1.01B$279.0M$848.0M
EPS0.850.850.610.290.51
Gross Margin97.5%97.5%97.0%95.2%96.0%
Operating Margin18.5%18.5%20.7%3.6%25.3%
Net Margin18.4%18.4%19.8%9.5%19.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.050.040.05
Current Ratio6.006.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$949.0M$949.0M$158.0M$947.0M$646.0M
Returns
ROE10.9%10.9%11.6%5.8%12.9%
Valuation
P/E481.44481.44143.79430.41—
EV/EBITDA375.76375.7690.50461.21—
P/B52.7552.7513.6724.62—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth22.8%22.8%23.9%20.7%—
EPS Growth39.3%39.3%110.3%-43.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

249.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.31

Spread vs growth

-210.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

120.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$43.94

Spread vs growth

-80.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

55.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$70.76

Spread vs growth

-16.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +228.6%

Total return

+228.6%

Start / end P/E

204.2x → 481.4x

EPS bridge

0.61 → 0.85

Residual

+53.4%

EPS growth+39.3%
Multiple rerating+135.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+53.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.