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ARML3.SA$3.50-4.11%
Fair $3.50+0.0%

ARML3.SA

Armac Locação, Logística e Serviços S.A.

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesSão Paulo

$3.50

-0.15 (-4.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.50Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 12%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $116.9M · quality 25.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 23/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.33, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ARML3.SALocal privado en este navegador · Armac Locação, Logística e Serviços S.A.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.2B

P/E

25.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

5.2%

↓

Gross Margin

34.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.33

↑
52-Week Range$4
$0$6

TradingView lightweight chart

ARML3.SA price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.650Periodo -83.4%
Fair value: $3.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

23.9%

FCF / Net income

6.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.89B · net income $67.1M · FCF $450.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.0%-13.1% pts

Operating margin

22.4%-11.3% pts

Net margin

3.6%-12.1% pts

FCF margin

23.9%+97.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.89B$1.89B$1.77B$1.36B$951.8M
Net Income$67.1M$67.1M$170.2M$163.3M$148.6M
EBITDA$719.9M$719.9M$833.4M$732.0M$573.2M
EPS0.190.190.510.470.43
Gross Margin34.0%34.0%40.5%46.1%47.0%
Operating Margin22.4%22.4%29.6%33.4%33.7%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%9.6%12.0%15.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.332.331.971.741.85
Current Ratio2.162.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$450.6M$450.6M$35.4M$116.9M$-698.5M
Returns
ROE5.2%5.2%13.5%13.3%12.8%
Valuation
P/E25.0025.0010.3332.6625.79
EV/EBITDA5.485.484.909.828.79
P/B0.950.951.444.323.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.9%6.9%29.8%43.0%—
EPS Growth-62.5%-62.5%7.9%9.3%—
Dividend Yield16.9%16.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

-80.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

-77.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.61

Spread vs growth

-74.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.1%

Total return

-13.1%

Start / end P/E

9.9x → 18.4x

EPS bridge

0.51 → 0.19

Residual

-54.4%

EPS growth-62.5%
Multiple rerating+86.9%
Dividend+16.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-54.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.