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v0.1
ARVN$8.23-4.02%
Fair $8.23+0.0%

ARVN

Arvinas, Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGS

$8.23

-0.35 (-4.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.23Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-275.7M · quality 53.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 9Warnings: 1unknown: 9
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists. ROE is -18.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ARVNLocal privado en este navegador · Arvinas, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$531M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-18.6%

↓

Gross Margin

N/A

•

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$8
$6$15

TradingView lightweight chart

ARVN price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.235Periodo -48.7%
Fair value: $8.235

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2017–2025 · 8 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+55.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-105.0%

FCF / Net income

3.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $262.6M · net income $-80.8M · FCF $-275.7M

2017-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

—— pts

Operating margin

-45.1%+281.6% pts

Net margin

-30.8%+286.5% pts

FCF margin

-105.0%-159.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Income Statement
Revenue$262.6M$262.6M$263.4M$78.5M$131.4M$46.7M$21.8M$18.3M$14.3M$7.6M
Net Income$-80.8M$-80.8M$-198.9M$-367.3M$-282.5M$-191.0M$-119.3M$-70.3M$-41.5M$-24.0M
EBITDA$-113.3M$-113.3M$-243.6M$-394.8M$-255.0M$-183.6M$-117.6M$-49.9M$-43.1M$-24.4M
EPS——-2.77-6.62-5.31-3.82-3.02-2.13——
Operating Margin-45.1%-45.1%-95.0%-511.5%-200.3%-403.4%-554.1%-281.4%-306.3%-326.7%
Net Margin-30.8%-30.8%-75.5%-467.9%-215.0%-409.0%-547.2%-384.2%-290.1%-317.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.000.010.000.000.010.01-0.00
Current Ratio5.445.44————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-275.7M$-275.7M$-261.1M$-350.7M$-280.3M$554.7M$-96.1M$-46.9M$-18.9M$4.1M
Returns
ROE-18.6%-18.6%-35.4%-55.7%-50.0%-24.4%-18.6%-31.0%-30.4%39.3%
Valuation
P/B1.211.212.623.413.21—————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.3%-0.3%235.5%-40.3%—114.2%19.1%28.0%88.7%—
EPS Growth——58.2%-24.7%—-26.5%-41.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +12.3%

Total return

+12.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.77 → n/d

Residual

+12.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+12.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.