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ARYN.SW$59.80+2.05%
Fair $59.80+0.0%

ARYN.SW

ARYZTA AG

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsSwissCH

$59.80

+1.20 (+2.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $59.80Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $188.3M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 85/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ARYN.SWLocal privado en este navegador · ARYZTA AG
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

15.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

6.6x

↓

ROE

20.3%

↑

Gross Margin

20.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.29

↑
52-Week Range$60
$48$87

TradingView lightweight chart

ARYN.SW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $59.80Periodo -34.5%
Fair value: $59.80

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

+13.0%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

1.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.22B · net income $112.3M · FCF $159.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.2%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

7.8%+2.7% pts

Net margin

5.1%+5.0% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+0.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.22B$2.22B$2.19B$2.12B$1.76B
Net Income$112.3M$112.3M$129.6M$112.0M$900000.00
EBITDA$321.0M$321.0M$341.0M$280.4M$164.9M
EPS——4.022.60-1.80
Gross Margin20.2%20.2%21.4%18.5%18.1%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%8.7%6.8%5.1%
Net Margin5.1%5.1%5.9%5.3%0.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.291.291.810.660.57
Current Ratio0.580.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$159.7M$159.7M$204.6M$188.3M$110.7M
Returns
ROE20.3%20.3%28.7%14.1%0.1%
Valuation
P/E15.2615.2615.8322.32—
EV/EBITDA6.646.646.826.558.38
P/B2.682.683.511.821.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.3%1.3%3.4%20.9%—
EPS Growth——54.6%244.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.1%

Total return

-31.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

4.02 → n/d

Residual

-31.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.