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v0.1
ASML.NE$52.50-2.39%
Fair $52.50+0.0%

ASML.NE

ASML CDR (CAD Hedged)

Technology / Semiconductor Equipment & MaterialsCboe CACA

$52.50

-1.28 (-2.39%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $52.50Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 72/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $9.1B · quality 78.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 82/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

72/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ASML.NELocal privado en este navegador · ASML CDR (CAD Hedged)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.02T

P/E

61.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

73.2x

↑

ROE

49.0%

↑

Gross Margin

52.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↑
52-Week Range$53
$19$54

TradingView lightweight chart

ASML.NE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $52.25Periodo +124.0%
Fair value: $52.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.6%

FCF CAGR

+15.4%

FCF margin

33.8%

FCF / Net income

1.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $32.67B · net income $9.61B · FCF $11.03B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.8%+2.3% pts

Operating margin

34.6%+3.9% pts

Net margin

29.4%+2.9% pts

FCF margin

33.8%-0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$32.67B$32.67B$28.26B$27.56B$21.17B
Net Income$9.61B$9.61B$7.57B$7.84B$5.62B
EBITDA$12.55B$12.55B$10.12B$9.98B$7.10B
EPS0.580.580.420.450.35
Gross Margin52.8%52.8%51.3%51.3%50.5%
Operating Margin34.6%34.6%31.9%32.8%30.7%
Net Margin29.4%29.4%26.8%28.4%26.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.250.340.48
Current Ratio1.311.31———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.03B$11.03B$9.08B$3.25B$7.17B
Returns
ROE49.0%49.0%41.0%58.3%63.8%
Valuation
P/E61.0561.05———
EV/EBITDA73.2473.24———
P/B47.3047.30———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.6%15.6%2.6%30.2%—
EPS Growth36.5%36.5%-6.6%28.1%—
Dividend Yield0.5%0.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

100.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.66

Spread vs growth

-64.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

57.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.64

Spread vs growth

-21.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

31.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.08

Spread vs growth

4.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +139.1%

Total return

+139.1%

Start / end P/E

51.7x → 90.4x

EPS bridge

0.42 → 0.58

Residual

+27.3%

EPS growth+36.5%
Multiple rerating+74.8%
Dividend+0.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+27.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.