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v0.1
ASPO.HE$6.12+2.00%
Fair $6.12+0.0%

ASPO.HE

Aspo Oyj

Industrials / ConglomeratesHelsinki

$6.12

+0.12 (+2.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.12Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.6M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · ASPO.HELocal privado en este navegador · Aspo Oyj
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$192M

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.3x

↓

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

39.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.75

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

ASPO.HE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.120Periodo +355.8%
Fair value: $6.120

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.8%

FCF CAGR

-33.7%

FCF margin

3.1%

FCF / Net income

0.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $469.1M · net income $23.5M · FCF $14.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.9%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-2.4% pts

Net margin

5.0%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

3.1%-5.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$469.1M$469.1M$459.5M$536.4M$560.7M
Net Income$23.5M$23.5M$6.4M$1.6M$20.7M
EBITDA$62.9M$62.9M$55.5M$59.8M$74.6M
EPS0.720.720.14-0.010.61
Gross Margin39.9%39.9%41.4%36.9%40.7%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%4.3%4.3%6.4%
Net Margin5.0%5.0%1.4%0.3%3.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.751.751.391.391.31
Current Ratio1.971.97———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$14.6M$14.6M$-17.3M$25.8M$49.9M
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%3.9%1.2%14.4%
Valuation
P/E10.2010.2035.86—13.57
EV/EBITDA6.256.256.236.035.71
P/B1.341.340.981.391.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.1%2.1%-14.3%-4.3%—
EPS Growth414.3%414.3%1500.0%-101.6%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

423.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

416.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.06

Spread vs growth

410.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.5%

Total return

+20.5%

Start / end P/E

37.6x → 8.5x

EPS bridge

0.14 → 0.72

Residual

-320.6%

EPS growth+414.3%
Multiple rerating-77.4%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-320.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.