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ASRI.JK$115.00-0.86%
Fair $115.00+0.0%

ASRI.JK

PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentJakarta

$115.00

-1.00 (-0.86%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $115.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 17.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ASRI.JKLocal privado en este navegador · PT Alam Sutera Realty Tbk
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.26T

P/E

7.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

2.7%

↓

Gross Margin

53.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.53

↓
52-Week Range$115
$107$204

TradingView lightweight chart

ASRI.JK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $115.00Periodo -35.4%
Fair value: $115.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.2%

FCF CAGR

-19.7%

FCF margin

43.0%

FCF / Net income

4.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.93T · net income $313.18B · FCF $1.26T

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

53.1%-5.5% pts

Operating margin

36.0%-11.7% pts

Net margin

10.7%-13.5% pts

FCF margin

43.0%-11.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2933.95B$2933.95B$3433.34B$3956.02B$4493.53B
Net Income$313.18B$313.18B$55.22B$632.33B$1086.12B
EBITDA$1028.53B$1028.53B$918.72B$1649.09B$2009.79B
EPS——2.8132.1855.27
Gross Margin53.1%53.1%51.7%54.3%58.6%
Operating Margin36.0%36.0%36.1%42.1%47.6%
Net Margin10.7%10.7%1.6%16.0%24.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.530.530.540.570.63
Current Ratio0.790.79———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1260.51B$1260.51B$1106.79B$949.09B$2430.98B
Returns
ROE2.7%2.7%0.5%5.7%10.3%
Valuation
P/E7.547.5451.255.132.77
EV/EBITDA7.327.329.455.084.09
P/B0.200.200.250.290.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.5%-14.5%-13.2%-12.0%—
EPS Growth——-91.3%-41.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.0%

Total return

-19.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

2.81 → n/d

Residual

-19.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-19.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.