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ASTE$49.75-1.21%
Fair $49.75+0.0%

ASTE

Astec Industries, Inc.

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryNasdaqGS

$49.75

-0.61 (-1.21%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $49.75Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.5M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 18Warnings: 0unknown: 18
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · ASTELocal privado en este navegador · Astec Industries, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

44.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.1x

↑

ROE

5.7%

↓

Gross Margin

26.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$50
$36$66

TradingView lightweight chart

ASTE price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $49.75Periodo +183.3%
Fair value: $49.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2008–2025 · 17 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

0.53x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.41B · net income $38.8M · FCF $20.7M

2008-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.5%+2.6% pts

Operating margin

4.6%-4.8% pts

Net margin

2.8%-3.7% pts

FCF margin

1.5%+4.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Income Statement
Revenue$1.41B$1.41B$1.31B$1.34B$1.27B$1.10B$1.02B$1.17B$1.17B$1.18B$1.15B$983.2M$975.6M$933.0M$936.3M$908.6M$737.1M$738.1M$973.7M
Net Income$38.8M$38.8M$4.3M$33.5M$-100000.00$15.8M$46.0M$22.3M$-60.4M$37.8M$55.2M$32.8M$34.5M$39.0M$40.8M$40.6M$32.4M$3.1M$63.1M
EBITDA$107.9M$107.9M$51.4M$77.3M$34.8M$50.1M$67.4M$51.3M$-58.5M$81.3M$112.0M$74.1M$76.1M$77.9M$74.2M$77.7M$68.0M$28.6M—
EPS——0.191.47-0.000.692.010.98-2.641.632.381.421.491.691.771.761.420.142.80
Gross Margin26.5%26.5%25.1%24.7%20.7%22.8%23.2%20.5%11.6%20.5%23.1%22.3%22.1%22.2%22.2%23.3%23.7%20.7%24.0%
Operating Margin4.6%4.6%4.0%4.1%1.3%1.8%4.0%2.1%-7.4%4.7%7.6%5.1%5.3%6.0%5.5%6.4%6.7%1.3%9.4%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%0.3%2.5%-0.0%1.4%4.5%1.9%-5.2%3.2%4.8%3.3%3.5%4.2%4.4%4.5%4.4%0.4%6.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.510.190.130.140.000.000.000.100.000.010.010.010.00—————
Current Ratio2.342.34—————————————————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$20.7M$20.7M$2.5M$-6.3M$-114.6M$-12.7M$126.1M$89.2M$-57.4M$21.8M$107.4M$9.7M$-6.0M$-21.8M$2.6M$-3.8M$50.7M$31.7M$-29.9M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%0.7%5.1%-0.0%2.4%7.2%3.7%-10.3%5.5%8.5%5.4%5.8%6.8%7.4%7.7%6.6%0.7%—
Valuation
P/E44.4244.42175.2123.74———————————————
EV/EBITDA13.1113.1115.3410.5424.77——————————————
P/B1.671.671.191.221.34——————————————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%-2.5%5.0%—6.9%-12.4%-0.2%-1.1%3.3%16.7%0.8%4.6%-0.3%3.0%23.3%-0.1%-24.2%—
EPS Growth——-87.1%33600.5%—-65.7%105.1%137.1%-262.0%-31.5%67.6%-4.7%-11.8%-4.5%0.6%23.9%914.3%-95.0%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%—————————————————

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.7%

Total return

+27.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.19 → n/d

Residual

+26.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+26.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.