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ATGL$15.40+5.07%
Fair $15.40+0.0%

ATGL

Alpha Technology Group Limited

Technology / Software - InfrastructureNasdaqCM

$15.40

+0.74 (+5.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.40Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-13.9M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · ATGLLocal privado en este navegador · Alpha Technology Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$254M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-287.1%

↓

Gross Margin

49.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.20

↓
52-Week Range$15
$9$50

TradingView lightweight chart

ATGL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.40Periodo +250.0%
Fair value: $15.40

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-188.5%

FCF / Net income

0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.4M · net income $-70.4M · FCF $-13.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.2%+26.5% pts

Operating margin

-782.1%-727.8% pts

Net margin

-952.0%-891.7% pts

FCF margin

-188.5%-223.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.4M$7.4M$12.4M$8.7M$4.4M
Net Income$-70.4M$-70.4M$-5.5M$-6.8M$-2.7M
EBITDA$-69.1M$-69.1M$-4.7M$-5.7M$-2.4M
EPS———-0.46-0.18
Gross Margin49.2%49.2%52.3%32.8%22.7%
Operating Margin-782.1%-782.1%-41.1%-48.4%-54.3%
Net Margin-952.0%-952.0%-44.4%-78.6%-60.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.200.200.070.09-0.60
Current Ratio3.333.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.9M$-13.9M$-19.7M$4.2M$1.5M
Returns
ROE-287.1%-287.1%-10.6%-35.3%63.1%
Valuation
P/B10.3410.342.13——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-40.1%-40.1%42.2%96.5%—
EPS Growth———-156.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -41.4%

Total return

-41.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

-41.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-41.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.