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Financial Analysis

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v0.1
ATIC.ST$32.90-1.05%
Fair $32.90+0.0%

ATIC.ST

Actic Group AB (publ)

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureStockholm

$32.90

-0.35 (-1.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $32.90Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $158.8M · quality 42.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 3.53, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · ATIC.STLocal privado en este navegador · Actic Group AB (publ)
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$749M

P/E

9.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

33.6%

↑

Gross Margin

99.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

3.53

↑
52-Week Range$33
$18$40

TradingView lightweight chart

ATIC.ST price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $32.90Periodo -29.6%
Fair value: $32.90

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.6%

FCF CAGR

+13.4%

FCF margin

22.8%

FCF / Net income

2.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $695.1M · net income $78.4M · FCF $158.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

99.0%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

16.4%+20.4% pts

Net margin

11.3%+16.6% pts

FCF margin

22.8%+6.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$695.1M$695.1M$693.8M$678.3M$682.8M
Net Income$78.4M$78.4M$-11.1M$-33.7M$-36.1M
EBITDA$269.3M$269.3M$213.8M$215.5M$203.8M
EPS3.373.37-0.50-1.51-1.82
Gross Margin99.0%99.0%99.2%99.3%99.6%
Operating Margin16.4%16.4%5.0%-2.8%-4.0%
Net Margin11.3%11.3%-1.6%-5.0%-5.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity3.533.535.605.544.99
Current Ratio0.360.36———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$158.8M$158.8M$172.0M$139.7M$108.8M
Returns
ROE33.6%33.6%-7.1%-20.2%-17.9%
Valuation
P/E9.359.35———
EV/EBITDA5.575.574.534.615.34
P/B3.283.280.840.630.58
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth0.2%0.2%2.3%-0.7%—
EPS Growth774.0%774.0%67.0%17.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.92

Spread vs growth

778.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$3.53

Spread vs growth

773.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$5.69

Spread vs growth

768.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +49.5%

Total return

+49.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.50 → 3.37

Residual

+49.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+49.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.