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AUPH$15.07-1.57%
Fair $15.07+0.0%

AUPH

Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyNasdaqGM

$15.07

-0.24 (-1.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $15.07Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $44.1M · quality 50.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

20/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 8Warnings: 0unknown: 8
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific biotech pipeline model required: targets are disabled until product, probability, peak-sales and cash-runway data exists.
Thesis & Journal · AUPHLocal privado en este navegador · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

7.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

15.1x

↑

ROE

49.4%

↑

Gross Margin

88.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$15
$7$17

TradingView lightweight chart

AUPH price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $15.07Periodo +276.7%
Fair value: $15.07

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2018–2025 · 7 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+150.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

47.8%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $283.1M · net income $287.2M · FCF $135.4M

2018-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

88.5%— pts

Operating margin

37.6%+11968.5% pts

Net margin

101.5%+11565.6% pts

FCF margin

47.8%— pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Income Statement
Revenue$283.1M$283.1M$235.1M$175.5M$134.0M$45.6M$50.1M$318000.00$463000.00
Net Income$287.2M$287.2M$5.8M$-78.0M$-108.2M$-181.0M$-102.7M$-88.4M$-53.1M
EBITDA$137.9M$137.9M$31.7M$-63.0M$-103.6M$-178.0M$-102.9M——
EPS2.072.070.04-0.54-0.76-1.40-0.87-0.95—
Gross Margin88.5%88.5%88.0%91.9%95.8%————
Operating Margin37.6%37.6%7.8%-52.2%-83.2%-396.3%-208.1%-28598.4%-11930.9%
Net Margin101.5%101.5%2.4%-44.5%-80.7%-396.8%-204.9%-27794.0%-11464.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.210.260.02————
Current Ratio5.555.55———————
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$135.4M$135.4M$44.1M$-34.2M$-79.8M————
Returns
ROE49.4%49.4%1.5%-20.6%-26.7%-37.8%-25.2%-29.6%-39.1%
Valuation
P/E6.986.98213.50——————
EV/EBITDA15.1115.1139.22——————
P/B3.603.603.313.182.64————
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.4%20.4%34.0%31.0%—-9.0%15660.4%-31.3%—
EPS Growth5075.0%5075.0%107.4%28.9%—-60.9%8.4%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

5088.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$1.62

Spread vs growth

5079.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$2.61

Spread vs growth

5072.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +89.3%

Total return

+89.3%

Start / end P/E

199.0x → 7.3x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 2.07

Residual

-4889.3%

EPS growth+5075.0%
Multiple rerating-96.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4889.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.